Jebman

Yeah it does look more concerning for Texas but the system IS showing some slow weakening. Max sustained winds at 115mph is sure better than 165. Beryl is not going to slow down and be like Allison. As long as she keeps on moving, should not be too bad. We can handle a few inches of rain, if we even get that.

Two members on the thread. Beryl is weakening apace. Thank goodness. The GoMex Coast need worry no more. Shear is tearing Beryl apart. We can hope, and I will hope enough for millions of people all along the GoMex Coast, in the Caymans, and on the east Yucatan Coast.

Central pressure is up to 961. That's up from the mid 930s. It's getting weaker.

Its just like the Energizer Bunny...........it keeps going and going and going......... GaWx!!! That is great news! It is down to 130 mph! Maybe that shear and dry air finally starting to wear Beryl down!

The Tampico region has had lots of rain from Alberto and other systems recently.

Beryl is moving so damn fast nothing but a catastrophic Texas LF is ever gonna weaken it. It will LF and probably take its sweet time weakening. This thing has got a truly Brobdingnagian number of tricks up its sleeve. It is the Steven Seagal of storms and it has a superior attitude! Its kickin all our asses and its got Buda Texas in its sights.

One thing I always read into these tropical threads is that when they get super slow like this, it is an eminently excellent thing - because the storm is weakening, and people's interest is lagging. Therefore, Mexico and the Texas Coasts are that much safer. Shear and plenty of dry air must be sluggin' it out with Beryl, and Jamaicans will catch a break, thank goodness. Beryl must be totally exhausted by now. Even anomalous storms must take a break! Look, I can always keep dreaming, and I can keep on hoping ----- Right to the bitter end.

180 mph surface winds estimates. I hope that we dont end up with a 180 mph hurricane. Isnt 165 mph bad enough? I sure hope that this anomalous hurricane stays the heck OUT of the GoMex! Those waters are VERY warm!

Models are showing a pretty good probability of a NE Mex LF. Hopefully we can get this storm to weaken some before then.

It is improving, right in time for Jamaica. However, I have hopes for these people because the construction of these structures in that part of the world is much better than in the US.

Take all the model tracks, just pick the middle. That would likely be NE Mex.

Here's to hoping that Beryl will get Chris'd.

AMZ001-022100- Synopsis for Caribbean Sea, and Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to 19N W of 55W 500 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Major Hurricane Beryl is near 14.6N 66.9W at 5 AM EDT, and is moving west-northwest at 19 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 145 kt with gusts to 175 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 935 mb. Beryl will move to 15.5N 69.6W this afternoon, 16.5N 73.4W Wed morning, 17.4N 76.8W Wed afternoon, 18.2N 80.2W Thu morning, 18.7N 83.6W Thu afternoon, and 19.3N 86.7W Fri morning. Beryl will weaken to a tropical storm over 21.2N 91.8W early Sat. A surge of fresh to strong winds and squalls is expected to move across the tropical N Atlantic tonight through Wed, then across the eastern and central Caribbean Wed through Fri, associated with a tropical wave, Invest 96L. $$ https://forecast.weather.gov/shmrn.php?mz=amz041&syn=amz001 That's sustained winds of 166 mph, gusting to 201 mph. This, is getting alarmingly BAD.

If Beryl becomes a sub-930 hurricane.......

165 mph sustained winds. Just wow.

If Beryl were to hit Houston, Buda would have relatively weak north winds. It would not be all that bad for us. But if it hits Corpus........ uh - oh. Everyone from Yucatan to Florida needs to watch. And pray. This is getting serious scary. Nothing weakens Beryl. Not shear, not nothing.

Yeah I used to think I wanted to go chase a Cat 5 with a pro chaser, but naaaaah. Risk can be fun but that would be pushing it. I'll stick with clearing brush in 103 weather in south Texas.

145 kts = 171 mph. Look, I dont want this. I never, EVER want to see a hurricane like this for real, but could this thing reach 200 mph? I know this is a super anomalous season with above norm SSTs, but that would be beyond ridiculous. In early July. In the ECARIB, for gollys sakes.

Right front quadrant of a Cat 5 hurricane may impact eastern Jamaica. Hopefully not though. Why hasn't Windspeed been red-tagged as a full-on Meteorologist? Get Windspeed a red tag NOW.

This is why Beryl is going to hold together all the way across the Caribbean. The storm is so strong and so organized, that the only thing that will ever be able to weaken it significantly will be unfortunately a landfall. This season is so anomalous its beyond unbelievable.

I am holding out some hope, that Beryl gets weakened a lot passing over the Yucatan. If Beryl weakened to a tropical storm, I would not mind it hitting Texas. I'd get cool clouds, 15 mph winds and a couple inches of rain. No muss, no fuss, no one gets hurt. Maybe the dunes lose a couple inches of sand. We can stand that. But HURRICANE Beryl. No way. It needs to weaken then die over dry land as a TS. It better not hit Tampico either, they already have way too much water in those basins. One thing I just now found out. I am NOT so safe. I am only 142 miles from that GoMex. Gonnabe a long season, and I'll worry myself silly

Reminds me of iCyclone coverage Beryl is one horrifically BAD storm

Definitely need to keep an eye on this storm.

Stay safe. Maybe Beryl will weaken some.

I am concerned for wxmx's safety should Beryl strike Mexico. This is an extremely dangerous hurricane.