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Dark Star

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Dark Star

  1. Decent cold pocket of air in Quebec, the rest of Canada is rather balmy. Alaska actually below zero in most places...
  2. It's called persistence, which at this point is probably more reliable than 14 day outlooks...
  3. Last winter, the models kept kicking the can down the road. Amazingly, this season, we had 10 days of winter, so I guess anything is possible?
  4. Fog building in here in Garwood NJ (central Union County).
  5. That would depend if there was ANY cold air to tap into. As of right now, there was rain all the way up to the Canadian Border. I noticed yesterday central Quebec was below zero. I guess you would have to have pretty intense cyclonic flow to pull enough of the cold air down?
  6. The only thing worse than a 43 degree rain is a 31 degree, plain rain. (I've seen enough of plain rain, not freezing, below 32 degrees).
  7. I think I got an F- in calculus once...
  8. Notice the arrow through the head, kidding...
  9. I think I woud assign a D-, no matter if the rest of the winter fizzles. For me, last winter gets an F?
  10. There are lot of factors influencing a bust for a significant snowfall. I think one of the hardest things to forecast is the dreaded dryslot. You have a perfecty lined up intense storm, but becomes too intense that it sucks in dry air.
  11. I do stand corrected. Based on what the actual temperatures were this side of the pole when the 10 day maps came out, I was highly skeptical that enough cold air came in to give us 10 days of winter.
  12. C'mon, the term crystal ball is way outdated. I depend on more modern technology, like what is pictured below...
  13. If by the end of January the long range maps do not hint of any cold air, you can usually stick a fork in it.
  14. You mean until after the rest of the heart of winter?
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