MANDA

Can still get very meaningful cold in February but you are 100% correct that the lack of ice on the Great Lakes + late February sun angle + possibility of bare ground upstream will certainly temper what could have been if the lakes were ice covered and some snow was on the ground. Sun angle we can't help.

Yep, as the block moves more east that is when the torch fires. That is when the big warm departures will make their mark on first half of February. Hopefully we can get back to around normal by the 15th. and then get colder from there. Not at all likely any cold mid and late month will wipe out the positive departures from the first half of the month. Also, unless February is unusually stormy we should finish near or below normal in the precipitation department.

That is one blocked up upper air pattern. Going to take a while to get the train moving again. Going to be a real snoozer next 10-14 days, as per guidance. Then we'll see what happens. I'm pretty convinced of a period of BN temps from 2/15 - 2/20 or thereabouts. How much beyond that? Does the pattern produce for meaningful snow, 6"+ forum wide? It could but it doesn't have to. Patterns like the one that is forecast for mid / late month have failed to produce more so than not last year and this. At least something to watch with interest over the next two weeks to see how it develops. In the meantime it will give the ground a chance to dry out around here. Be thankful the block has setup the way it did. Any further east we would really warm up, as it is we'll be in a NW flow of at least cool / chilly air with cold nights and daytime temperatures not truly torching. Any further west would have kept us in a cloudy, raw and damp pattern.

I suspect we'll bump up a notch or two by 2/15.

.20" snowfall here overnight into this morning. Looks pretty. Nickle and dime events and I still am not at 12" for the season.

Total rainfall here with this last event was 1.37". Trace of snow yesterday morning. Majority of this rain fell with the temperatures between 33 and 35 degrees ! Frustrating to say the least. I wasn't expecting much, maybe a half inch on colder surfaces but didn't even get that.

Total rainfall here with this last event was 1.37". Trace of snow yesterday morning. Majority of this rain fell with the temperatures between 33 and 35 degrees ! Frustrating to say the least. I wasn't expecting much, maybe a half inch on colder surfaces but didn't even get that.

I'll say one thing about this map. First time this season I've see a cold high in the right place with classic banana shape to funnel cold air in. I'm not implying anything one way or the other just that I like the look of the surface map. Long way to go and I'm not getting excited about a 198 hour prog, ensemble or op. Something to watch....that's all.

Another drenching 1"+ rainfall here. Did go to a period of wet snow between 8 and 9 am that caused the deck to get a LIGHT coating of slush and slightly whitened the pines in the yard. All gone now as it went back to rain once precip intensity decreased. Temperature 33.5 to 34.5 since about 5am.

I'll take this as an opening bid.

Gotta like the 12Z Euro. Best look so far this season even if cold air might be marginal to start. If that look or something close to it is real with the closing off upper low where it shows it then it might get interesting. Especially for the interior. I'm interested but need to see if these trends persist. You gotta like the trends this morning / afternoon though. 12Z GEFS not shabby either. Interested to see 12Z EPS shortly.

I think the Boston stat is sadder than CP.

And the sad thing about that is you've not got not much in the way of totals to show for it. Out this way the roads are a mess with all the excess road salt. Like a dust storm on parts of Route 80. So yes, wanting some rain.

Snowfall my location so far this month: 10.2". Season to date: 10.5".

oops sorry about that. I fixed it. I hadn't looked at it before I posted the link. Thanks!

Final snow totals from PHI: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=pnsphi Final total here 1.2".

As of 5pm total 1.2". Just barely made it to the low end of my forecast range. Will get melted total tomorrow morning.

Latest totals from PHI: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=pnsphi Still nothing from OKX

At least we'll get rid of all the excessive road salt. What a mess.

Radar echos shrinking fast.

Friend in Mt. Laurel NJ now up to 3.5" but intensity is lightening up now. He had a burst of moderate for a while with decent size flakes.

Latest snow totals from NWS PHI: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=pnsphi Nothing from OKX yet.

Can't find a traffic cam on NJDOT site that shows anything but wet roads. State of Emergency and NJDOT Commercial Travel Ban? Was totally uncalled for. Dilutes the message when one is actually needed. Was not THAT long ago that States of Emergency during winter storms were reserved for 12"+, blowing/drifting and heavy rates of fall so as to actually impede travel. This was never any of that. Then they wonder why people are apathetic and don't pay attention.

Friends update from Mt. Laurel: Light snow, sometimes moderate but small flakes. Temperature holding at 30. Total snow so far 2.8". No sticking on paved surfaces.

How much to you have up in Sparta?