MANDA
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Everything posted by MANDA
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Most stations on this map have more snow season to date than my location. Currently .50" on the season here.
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Cold. Below zero upstate NY.
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Thanks @SACRUS for your daily local climo updates and historical summary. Appreciated always. The historical summary brings back some nice memories from time to time. The 1989 stat from today brings back memories of the bitter cold December that was getting underway.
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Don- Thanks as always for your always interesting and enlightening stats.
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Do with it as you wish but WPC not enthused for much precip in any form over the next 7 days. I.E. cold and dry. That said any subtle change in the flow could allow for a northward drift in the precip shield to our south but seems a long shot attm.
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Appreciate your posts Walt. I think you did a fine job in highlighting this event. This never was about accumulating snow south and east of I95. I think the event under performed from my area north and west compared to most modeling 36-48 hours out. The 12Z Monday guidance pulled the football away and that was mostly correct for the north of 80 / west of 287 crowd. -
Raining here and 33 degrees. Measured 1/2" at time it switched to sleet and rain about 10:45.
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Currently raining here. Turned to sleet / rain about 10:45 and now just raining with a temperature of 33. Measured 1/2" here just as it changed over.
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Bingo. Dilutes the message when truly needed. Goes in one ear and out the other.
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Snow just began falling 8:10 a.m. Temperature 29.8 degrees. 78637432795__83819762-F844-4C8F-B5D6-62B67C059D2B.MOV
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Ya think!
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Gotta lower my expectations for MBY....2-4" ain't gonna happen. Now thinking along the lines of 1" with maybe a bit more if this over performs at my elevation but not expecting much more than 1" at this point.
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I'm on the FAR southeast edge to be involved in this forum but it is a nice place to chill....I have to say. The main thread is like the movie Groundhog Day. I feel like I'm reliving Winter 2024-25 all over again with the usual suspects taking their usual stance and "weenie tags" flying all over the place. That being said my 2-4" forecast for MBY is slipping away...I'm now thinking 1" or maybe 2" if I'm lucky and this over performs.
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Has been holding on with the cold signal. Little doubt in my mind that the front half of December is going to be COLD.
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Yes. Based on 12Z data my 2-4" forecast is in trouble. Gonna let it roll and see how things unfold with 18Z guidance and update this evening if necessary. Worried though about the 2-4" forecast.
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I'm sticking with my forecast of 2-4" for MBY. Will see where it all shakes out in about 36 hours when all is said and done. See no reason to change anything based on overnight data.
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Winter Storm Watch hoisted for Sussex County, NJ - 4-7". Like my forecast for MBY of 2-4" from early this morning based on everything I've seen today.
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Latest (12Z/30) EURO OP is locked, loaded and ready to discharge a bitter cold Arctic outbreak into the Mid-West / Lakes and Northeast starting next weekend. Still time to work out the details on who gets how cold but reasonable confidence it is coming.
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Currently 31.3 here.
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Just trace amounts on grass / dirt and colder surfaces around here.
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Thinking along the lines of 2-4" for my location and elevation. Expect main / well traveled roads to have few if any issues as they will be heavily treated. Side and back roads I would expect issues. Not a bad start to the season and no matter what the first half of December looks to average solidly below normal.
