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MANDA

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Everything posted by MANDA

  1. Received 3.42" last 24 hours. Roughly 2.5" of that fell in about 30 minutes last evening. Highly variable totals around my area. Total so far for August = 5.04".
  2. Received 3.42" last 24 hours. Roughly 2.5" of that fell in about 30 minutes last evening. Highly variable totals around my area. Total so far for August = 5.04".
  3. Getting dark here and from the looks of radar a band of heavier rain is aimed in my direction. Will keep ya posted. Outflow boundaries all over the place and storms blowing up along them. The rain is certainly torrential under the heavier bands but they are moving.
  4. Some places in this forum are going to have 8 day totals (Saturday to Saturday) of 7"+. I'm at 1.62" as of now and that is a lower end total compared to some.
  5. Latest WPC holding steady with excessive totals. Thankfully this is spread out over a few days but even so river flooding could be major concern.
  6. Ida rains well well advertised at least 48 hours in advance. Most guidance was printing out intense and excessive totals over a short time. Maybe not the precise location but the threat was very real. As to the actual effects from the intense short term rainfall I don't think anyone could grasp in advance how bad it was going to be. I believe it was labeled a 1 in 1000 year event but don't quote me on that. At least a 500 year event. The death toll in NJ alone was beyond belief.
  7. Posted yesterday in this thread that worst case is a PRE followed by Debby passing near or just to the east. Moist tropical air would get lifted over frontal boundary into "cooler drier" air mass. Will be interesting to see how remnants interact with upper trof and frontal boundary that will be floundering arcoss our area. My opinion, spatial area of excessive rainfall to be determined but confidence increasing locations in this forum see 5-7"+ totals. Hopefully broken up over several days. Just for reference Ida rains came in a 3-5 hour period. Sort term intense rainfall is by far worse than something spread out over a few days. Regardless, that does little to help river flooding but it does lessen the intense flash flooding that was associated with Ida. Not suggesting this is Ida type event. We'll see how this plays out.
  8. Posted yesterday in August thread. Worst case is a PRE followed by Debby passing near or just to the east. Moist tropical air would get lifted over frontal boundary into "cooler drier" air mass. Will be interesting to see how remnants interact with upper trof and frontal boundary that will be floundering arcoss our area. My opinion, spatial area of excessive rainfall to be determined but confidence increasing locations in this forum see 5-7"+ totals. Hopefully broken up over several days. Just for reference Ida rains came in a 3-5 hour period. Short term intense rainfall is by far worse than something spread out over a few days. Regardless, that does little to help river flooding but it does lessen the intense flash flooding that was associated with Ida. Not suggesting this is Ida type event. We'll see how this plays out.
  9. Rainfall last 24 hours here was .04". Three day totals attached. Focus now turns to mid and late week with possible PRE and remnants of Debby. Not rooting for the possible excessive totals. Would be bad if those 5-10" totals came to fruition. Possible though so stay tuned.
  10. Picked up .42" last 24 hours. Got lucky with heavy downpour last evening as last of the rain cleared my area. Two day total = 1.50". Interesting possibilities for rainfall this week. Details to be determined but totals could be excessive to perhaps extreme depending on direct impacts (if any) from Debby. Good signal for heavy totals even without direct impacts from possible PRE. Worst case scenario would be a PRE than to have Debby track very near your location or a short distance east of you. Tropical moisture in that scenario would get lifted over the "cooler and drier" air mass moving in from the west. Worth watching for eventual possible track up this way and how it interacts with upper trof and associated surface front late week or maybe next weekend. A ways to go.
  11. Radar has been impressive to watch last several hours. Numerous outflow boundaries on which new storms ignited. Especially the one in CNJ. Still insanely muggy out there. Not sure how people in FL etc. deal with this for months with no break. Just nasty.
  12. Glad I picked up the 1.08" yesterday. So far today not much at my location. Less than .25" so far. I'm happy with that though. Don't need any kind of flooding and everything got a good watering and there will be more to come in the week ahead. All good! Happy @winterwx21 got his as well ! He's been struggling lately.
  13. Still lots of rolling thunder in the distance but except for some very brief heavy showers nothing to speak of here. Less than .10" so far today. Impressive signal on the EPS for rainfall. Hopefully those excessive solutions around here shift in the days ahead.
  14. Healthy looking plants there. That basil or mint off to the left?
  15. Areas NW, N and NE of me are getting crushed per radar. Just some distant thunder here and occasional big drop of rain. Just on the edge of things. WPC is very robust with totals next 7 days. Don't see an outlook this this that often. That is a widespread area of 5". Details still TBD but some serious flooding from the SE U.S. up into the NE is on the table. Totals on some guidance of GA and SC are off the charts.
  16. Totals from last 24 hours. Nothing excessive across the area and locations along and north of Rt. 80 did best. The area along and just south of Rt. 78 didn't do great but more chances coming up later today, tonight and tomorrow. Hang in there!
  17. Did well yesterday in the rainfall department! Received 1.08" last 24 hours. Two downpours. First around 1:00 and second around 5:00. I was not around for the first one but the one around 5:00 really unloaded over a 5 min period. Steamy this morning.
  18. Models are swinging like a chandelier in an earthquake. With no defined center that is to be fully expected. Land interaction over the next 2-3 days will be a big inhibitor.
  19. Same here but I get the feeling it will be more of the same. An above normal and swampy month. Most likely with above normal precipitation. Not to say we don't get some crisp overnights as we get to later in the month.
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