MANDA

That is a nice plume of moisture to our south over the eastern Carolina's. This storm could have been a real contender if there was some phasing involved and the low was closer in and tracked to near or just inside of the benchmark. As it is all that deep moisture is going to slide out to our south east. Just saying what could have been.

If that is the case wouldn't they call them back in? What the hell?

Will be interesting to follow Don’s daily summaries over the next week to see where the January temperatures are headed. Only one direction….down. I would say we easily reverse the positive departures. Only question is how much below normal for the month do we go. I will take the over on -2.

Watch the radar today. Best precipitation for rest of today looks to be along and east of I95. Moisture plume is southeast and developing coastal will track south and east of the benchmark. Will be hard to wrap / pull that moisture back into north and west locations given the dynamics of the system. Not a slowing and explosive coastal development. Not dissing it just keep your expectations on the lower end of things if you are north and west. Picked up .7” here so far today.

Looks like deep Winter out there this morning and with the well advertised Arctic cold coming and additional snow and ice threats as well it is not going anywhere anytime soon. Going to be some hefty heating bills coming up.

Total today was 3.4" with a melted total of .28 so a 12:1 ratio. That is higher than I was expecting. The melted total was pretty much in line with the best model consensus.

3.4" here and melted was .28" - so 12:1 ratio snow. Higher than I was expecting.

3.4”

Finished with 3.4" for this event.

Nice to hear from you Walt. We miss you.

Final total here 3.4". Exceeded my expectations. Was thinking 1.5" for an upper limit as of yesterday afternoon. Truly exceeded expectations in and around NYC. We'll add more tomorrow and whatever is on the ground at the end of the day tomorrow will stick around for a while with upcoming Arctic surge. Going to look and feel wintry around here for a while. So much for the January pause.

I'm waiting to see the first "buckle up" of the season any minute now.

Likely skeet or skeet / snow mix. That is transition line between snow and mix / rain.

Right on transition line so likely sleet.

Heaviest snow is over for my location per radar. Still light to some moderate snow for next hour or so. Just measured 3.2”.

Still coming down good. Holding at 26.5. 79035989724__50DC29C4-98AC-4D45-8D51-6F4E1FE70B67.MOV

27.5 degrees moderate to heavy snow. 1.1” 79035806567__C5CCFDB6-38F0-4365-B499-B117D10BA483.MOV

27.5 degrees moderate to heavy snow. 1.1” 79035796683__C0596ADB-8BE7-466D-892A-0678A53C5EEC.MOV

Based on radar could easily do 2” here. Quickly closing in on 1”.

79035695589__880F6A05-AC36-402B-9CC3-D731CDEC7F0F.MOV

26 moderate snow

Down to 26 with just light snow currently. Total thus far .6”.

28 degrees currently and snowing 79035293257__F55F02F7-0D5C-434F-B0F8-8AB7CE0092AA.MOV

While we wait for our T to 2" of snow across most of this forum the guidance continues to impress over the next 1-2 week in terms of cold. Latest EURO is not backing down on the cold surges coming into the Mid-West, Lakes and into the NE and MA. Some bitter cold anomalies against the coldest averages of the year, i.e. peak climo cold. Expect to see some good ice buildup across the Great Lakes before all is said and done. Snowfall during this upcoming cold is very much in question. Think best chance at something substantial would have to wait until we start to pull out of the coldest of the pattern. For a time the cold looks like it wants to overwhelm the pattern causing suppression of storm track to the south. Not much room to get things to turn up the coast IMO.

Still holding to my .5" to 1.5" tops forecast out my way. Think the WWA of 2-4" are overdone where they are in effect for NJ counties. PERHAPS 2" in spots but the 4" I'm not buying into at all.