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Everything posted by MANDA
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Memorable cold winter followed. If I remember correctly after Hurricane Belle made a run up the east coast the pattern turned cool and steadily transitioned to cold as we moved through Fall.
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Chilly morning.
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Same here. Felt great.
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Best to you. Stay safe. Good luck.
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Interesting tidbit that Milton replaced Michael on the 6 year rotating list of names. Michael was retired after slamming into the FL panhandle 6 years ago.
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Link to GOES-19 animation and two images. https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-19&sec=mesoscale_01&x=785.6999969482422&y=1155.7999877929688&z=2&angle=0&im=60&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&maps[borders]=off&p[0]=band_03&opacity[0]=1&pause=20241007165154&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&draw_color=FFD700&draw_width=6
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Some nice leaf color here. Especially the maples. Not super widespread color yet but not bad and nothing like some of the years in the recent past where just yellow & brown and down. Maples on my street and in my yard are brilliant red and orange.
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Absolutely agree. At some point pattern should adjust, has been SO persistent. Hopefully to something more favorable for more precipitation and MAYBE to something resembling a colder than normal November and/or December.
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I would think it would have some effect landfall or not. There will be a period of time where southerly inflow will be coming off land and Milton is not moving fast so I believe there will be some degradation to the structure as Milton passes close to but off the Yucatan coast for a period of many hours. We'll see. No denying the events of this morning though with spectacular intensification and textbook satellite appearance.
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Hopefully we are getting this dry pattern out of the way now and pattern can shift to something more active for the cold months. Pattern will flip at some point but to what and for whom is the question. In the meantime that is a dry looking map, especially for this time of year.
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Just a trace here from a few sprinkles. Dry pattern persists.
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Based on the data this evening I would not expect much if any changes with the 11:00 TPC package as far as max intensity or track. Maybe they nudge the landfall location a smidge north. Certainly the initial intensity will be UP.
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Dry week upcoming. Pleasant but dry and boring. Just glad this dry period did not hit in July.
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Traffic is building up this way as you go into Sussex County as well. Had a horrible experience at Alstede Farms many years back with horrendous traffic and place was crowded beyond words. Not enjoyable at all and have not been back since. Just can't take all that, ruins the Fall experience. Great place most of the time but from mid September to late October we tend to stay away, especially on the weekends.
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Just a horrible situation.
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Great animation of Helene life cycle. https://x.com/i/status/1840879894680780985
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https://x.com/i/status/1841151548589552072
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1,43" rainfall here for September. Y.T.D. total at 50.66".
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- tropics
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This is just so sad. Fear it will get worse as they get into the more rural areas of western NC. I don't think anyone thought it would be this bad. Flooding was expected for sure but I don't think anyone envisioned locally 30" of rainfall over 3 days. Anomalous blocking patterns and land falling tropical systems usually are not good outcomes but this is really bad.
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Yay for the 540!
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Can't even begin to comprehend the anxiety associated with this. Please keep us posted. Prayers you make contact soon.
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Picked up .41" last 24 hours ending at 8am. Four day total .71". All of it light rain and drizzle. Nice slow soaking for the garden.
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Looks like Cat. 4 damage along the coast for sure. Amazing though how most homes were wiped out to the slab (even with remains of the pilings still intact) and a few were left standing.
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I agree. I'd like to check it out for the day.
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- tropics
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