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psuhoffman

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Everything posted by psuhoffman

  1. My first impressions are again better confluence and the storm seems south/weaker but also less thump so less dynamic cooling to help mix our warm layers so it might be a wash. Seems dryer and slower again.
  2. Don’t worry on the whole this forum is an excellent place to practice scientific methodology and analysis...and if this storm fails you will have to be sacrificed to appease the gods.
  3. I hope it wasn’t too late. If the snow gods saw that it may never snow again.
  4. You forgot to tell us its progressive In this case it’s actually a cutter lol Uh oh huge red flag!!!!!
  5. 100%. Come on man There is a 100% chance the gefs thinks there is a 100% chance. I’m holding out until it shows at least 110%
  6. Something just fell on my roof. Doesn’t seem to be any damage. But there are lots of not cool noises outside right now. Lost a huge pine tree 2 years ago in an ice storm. I’m definitely not down with ice storms. Not worth it.
  7. 31 pouring freezing rain. Something fell on my roof just had to go check it out. Seems to be ok. Lot of ice on everything.
  8. That doesn’t capture the whole storm. For some it’s still snowing after.
  9. There are some places in Ohio that went from being rain to being too far NW to get any precip in the last 36 hours.
  10. Yea that was the January one. Was the February storm snow/sleet mix up here? Was all sleet in northern VA.
  11. I was living in South Jersey near Philly. Neighbor went into labor. We were out in pouring thunder sleet trying to dig her out to the main road. We had about a foot of snow in just a few hours then several hours of driving sleet. Then in the dry slot it warmed up to like 40 and everything packed down and froze into 6” of solid ice you couldn’t do anything with.
  12. @EHoffman even I never said this was a non event. I said it could be more an ice then snow event and I hate ice events. But this looks like a high impact event.
  13. Sleet would actually accumulate much easier then snow (just not the same kind of totals). Didn’t the sleet bomb in March 2017 accumulate some And temps look pretty cold and the precip gets going very early.
  14. I remember visiting my uncle who lived on the side of the ridge that runs along the WV VA border just south of Harpers Ferry during one of the ice storms in 1994 and sledding down the roads watch we’re impassible with the old school wood/metal sleds. We went for miles at definitely unsafe speeds.
  15. 30, freezing rain. Building up a nice protective shield on my precious now. Trees starting to make eerie “we don’t like this” noises.
  16. Yea it’s definitely a step. Might not get all the way there this run. It was so crazy divergent it could take 2 steps and still be 50 miles north of the globals lol. But it’s a positive trend so far.
  17. Still noticeable differences at 39. More confluence to the north. Wave less amplified and further south.
  18. NAM 28 hours the heights are a little lower in front and the wave is further south in Texas. So a slight positive trend early.
  19. SREF still look like poo but they are at least trending the right way.
  20. I guess it depends on the year. They have about 500 feet on me which can make a difference. And if storms track inside being further west can help. On the other hand there have been years like 2010 and 2014 where this area did better because they were too far west to Jack a few times.
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