psuhoffman

Naw, last minute trends were actually south a bit with the best lift. Heavy bands kept training just south of me all night and I was stuck in the subsidence. Plus...like I pointed out a few days ago this was not the kind of event where my orographics would help. The wind flow was all wrong to get any upslope assistance. This was totally dependent on where the moisture feed set up. What is annoying is that I am only 50 miles north of DC...and this was suppressed SOUTH of me...and it still did DC no good. Think about that for a second!

It looked like a little over half an inch accumulated on my driveway from the last band that came down after I measured and cleared at 7AM so 3.5" is an accurate final total.

Fringed up here. Only had 2.8” when I cleared the driveway around 7. Probably got up over 3 with that last band after that. Never got into good rates. Just very very light snow all night. But very happy some south of me cashed in!

I wouldn’t assume later next week is a cutter either.

I totally get the frustration in DC. Thing is it’s been a failure of boundary temps not pattern. I don’t know what to say. This has been the pattern since Dec 1 and the last month! This looks like a match to every big DC snow period. And we’ve had perfect track after perfect track SWs this winter. I count about 5 storms that frankly everything went EXACTLY right for a DC snowstorm and DC got a 37 degree rain or mix event. I don’t know what to say and frankly I don’t even know what DC needs to get snow anymore. Colder is the obvious answer but if a storm takes the perfect track colder would have suppressed it. If the amount of suppression it takes to get cold enough is so much so that it squashed any wave that’s a problem. And don’t bring up Dallas. They aren’t near the coast east of mountains. Totally different climate.

At 90 6z euro has the departing TPV much stronger and slower to leave. System in the lower plains is weaker. Extrapolating another shift east. Guidance is slowly succumbing to the seasonal trend not to phase and cut storms west.

yup pattern looks awful

Baltimore is a dump. Like they deserve snow Don't be a jerk

Keep seeing reports just south of me of "dumping" but been mostly just light here with maybe borderline moderate at times.

I should operate a b&b for snow weenies

sure...looking at the current guidance its gonna be rocking

Will the barometric pressure in Pittsburgh predict the glacier flow?

You want to take the overflow for my glacier tours business next week?

It’s close NW of 95. You can see the column trying to cool but the storm isn’t quite amplified to pull it off like the NAM did.

yea 30/23 and pouring misty groupely snow here.

31/20 awaiting...

My deck is big enough to surround half my pool.

Obviously we've been too soft. Time to tell old man winter who is boss!

Both the GEFS and EPS really like the wave later next week.

Yea but the main problem with December IMO was it was December. The surface low took a perfect track but there was a ton of mid level warmth that blasted well NW. I would take my chances on a similar setup in February.

some combo of a little slower with the departing TPV to our northeast...a little less phasing of the NS/SS to our west, the trough out west to shift east slightly

Big enough to hold up about a dozen people. The wood is very firm and sturdy!

@H2O I was worried about the second wave trending south but not because of the euro. I was totally wrong about wave 1. I thought that was simply going to be a weak POS that didn't do much anywhere. I was totally focused on wave 2 which I was worried would trend south given the cold press we were seeing. It did, a little more then even I thought, enough to screw DC. The first wave amping up helped cause that by pressing the cold boundary even further south behind it. WRT the euro, I post analysis of every run, doesn't mean I agree with it. I posted the trend map because Ji was saying it wasn't that bad...I was trying to point out if you look at the trend over multiple runs it was. I do truly feel bad that this is screwing over the same places that have been getting the short end all winter. I really do. I would love to share the wealth but I have no control over it. It is a lot more fun when we are all posting deck pics!

Do you measure with the waves or between them?

Euro took a very positive step for the storm next week. A couple more shifts like that is all we need.