psuhoffman

if you're worried maybe I should be worried, but it's really just the HRRR that keeps the banding south of us. I haven't seen anything else look troubling for us.

3k too

Not much to show but…

I think it has that 3-5" area correct...but nothing will correctly place the little 5" max areas ahead of time within that zone. That will come down to luck with meso scale features.

It’s a 200 hour op run. I was just teasing him.

1980

Repeat of PD2 but with 20 years of warming

Yes it affects us way more early in the season. That’s why Dec is warming the most and snow before Jan in DC becoming rare. Doesn’t mean it’s not affecting later at all but much less.

My sister went to college there

@Terpeast @MillvilleWx @WxUSAF Is that a gravity wave that crosses DC around 18z on the 3knam or just instability as the vort passes south? sorry I can’t dig into it, stuck in a meeting

28/13 I like where we are. I know this isn’t a hecs but I hope y’all appreciate how rare it is to get a NS dominant system to flush hit any part of our sub. Nice to know a Nino/block still works at least to some degree. Hopefully if we get one more go at a really favorable pattern later we can try this with a more juiced up wave!

Look since y’all was too lazy I got up here on top of Mt PSU and blew that damn vort south for ya. Even started a thread just to make sure it knew. Now ya want CSI banding. What’s next thunder snow? Jeesh

They sent me the super secret special map

I did my job, you better not F this up!

You’re a $&@& lol

What if we cracked the code!

Yup south. Better run for DC and N VA

SV is ahead of wxbell so ya what Randy said

Surface hasn’t updated but I see the same trend on euro I noted earlier so it’s likely going to shift south a tad also.

good point

Don't misunderstand me... I am still optimistic we get another snowy pattern from about Mid February into March. I am unsure early Feb honestly. Hopefully the next round maximizes potential a bit more than this last one. It wasn't awful but we needed a little more out of a 3-4 week good longwave pattern. But the point I was trying to make is lately anytime we get a bad longwave pattern it isn't just kinda warm, its a complete TORCH. And even in a Nino when forcing is located where we want most of the winter we are still going to be unfavorable periods mixed in. We are never going to have a wall to wall no hostile period at all winter. So the excuse of "its not warming its that we are still recovering from the torch" is circular thinking and makes no sense to me. We often wont have weeks to wait for a colder airmass to slowly carve its way back into our area after a bad pattern. The fact that warm patterns torch the continent so bad that it takes weeks to recover and have a chance of snow is part of the same problem not an excuse.