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psuhoffman

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Everything posted by psuhoffman

  1. psuhoffman
    Ugh. That’s not good for anyone. Even up here I never want to be on the southern edge of a northern stream wave 72 hours out. That is bad bad news. Hopefully gfs uk and euro don’t head that way. Ggem always matches the RGEM so don’t expect anything better from that.
  2. psuhoffman
    I don’t know about major. The prices were there for a big storm but the tpv is elongated over the top. We needed it More centered at 50/50 or split. The wave is pretty modest with almost no stj. So not sure this has the high end it could have. But it wouldn’t take a big adjustment to suddenly see 3-6 maybe even 4-8”. Slightly more amped wave. Sync up the two waves a little better. Possible.
  3. psuhoffman
    Icon was close to Folks
  4. psuhoffman
  5. psuhoffman
    @Terpeast 3k looks very similar to the 12k at 60 but it was going to be a little south which makes a huge difference for us.
  6. psuhoffman
    Both are unreliable and go off on tangents. But since we’re going to analyze the 12k I figure I’d point out the 3k was going to be good imo.
  7. psuhoffman
    3k had the SW a little southeast at 60. Would have been better.
  8. psuhoffman
    It was digging more then turned northeast v continuing to dig
  9. psuhoffman
    Yes. We got most of what we wanted from the trailing vort. More dig. Perfect pass. More amped. But the lead wave is running off not getting captured. The lead wave has no upper support. We get snow just from that vort pass. The coastal runs off by itself. It’s just a sloppy interaction when we need those features to play nice.
  10. psuhoffman
    A full capture phase might be out of reach but a trend towards more interaction maybe.
  11. psuhoffman
    Wishing you the best. I had to drive my son to surgery during a snow/ice storm in 2019. Definitely added a layer of stress. Right now you look pretty safe for that date!
  12. psuhoffman
    Man if the lead wave doesnt run off with all the moisture… this has much bigger potential with just a slight adjustment.
  13. psuhoffman
    Thought this was worth bringing over If this trend continues this has a bit more upside!
  14. psuhoffman
  15. psuhoffman
    Yup... more amplified wave, further south
  16. psuhoffman
    Look at the 24 hour change!
  17. psuhoffman
    Just like everything else its trending the right way. It's subtle 6 hour run to run...but if you go back and compare these runs to 24 hours ago its significant.
  18. psuhoffman
    I've had a few meetings and in between tried to enjoy the snow with the kids so not been all over every model as it comes in...but just looking at where we are now v 24 hours ago things have moved the way we want in every way. There is more interaction with the trailing wave which is amplifying the trough more, and the track of the wave has shifted south some. If we continue these two trends we might back our way into another moderate event!
  19. psuhoffman
    Got a little over 4". Was out with the kids this morning. Nice event. Sucks the coastal part kinda crapped out after most guidance teased us with it yesterday. The axis of my snow map turned out pretty good but I was about 1-2" too low with the zones. I would have bumped my 2-4 area up to 3-6 and my 1-3 up to 2-4 yesterday if I bothered.
  20. psuhoffman
    I had stuff to do. 3.5” 24* coming down pretty good right now. Maybe I can make a run at 5”
  21. psuhoffman
    People get wxbell for the access to models and graphics. If he pulls in a niche audience he cultivates it’s a bonus.
  22. psuhoffman
    @Ji @jayyy something to consider wrt JB. He isn’t as bad further north where it actually snows more. He still hypes and is playing to that audience imo, but his issues are made worse by the fact he doesn’t know jack about our snow climo and I know that for a fact from our old communications in the 2000s. He judges the whole mid Atlantic area south of PA by DCAs numbers. He thinks if I get 20” it’s a snowy winter! Keep that in mind when he predicts above normal snow down here. To him that’s just 15”!
  23. psuhoffman
    Gentlemen…
  24. psuhoffman
    I let it know
  25. psuhoffman
    It’s not doing much up here yet. And I actually like to analyze and chase.
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