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uofmiami

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Everything posted by uofmiami

  1. Unfortunately the cat is out of the bag, so to speak, they’ll never go back to ensembles only past 10 days. Hopefully with AI the models will get better somewhat, but it won’t stop the images of a crazy operational solutions from being posted all over social media, it’s the norm nowadays.
  2. Didn’t beat 49 in N Syosset and topped out at 45 in Muttontown fwiw.
  3. S Shore special, no surprise.
  4. It’s elevation dependent for my stations. 230 ASL got to 49 but down to 46 now. 150 ASL been stuck at 41 only for the high. No low 50s to speak of.
  5. Agreed. I feel like the 1st wave is always the head fake and the 2nd wave ends up being the one. So I’d favor 8-10th period.
  6. I don’t see it happening around the metro. Maybe C NJ on S will see 60s.
  7. 17 in N Syosset & 14 in Muttontown this morning. NYC is its own microclimate already IMO.
  8. As you & other have stated too, there's potential. Let's see what unfolds once this pattern takes hold. Fingers crossed for those wanting a decent size snowstorm, it's been a while.
  9. Crazy. LIRR main line from Hicksville to Hillside Queens so far all snow covered ground.
  10. By another Met no less Tis the season...
  11. haha, forecasting long range in a nutshell.
  12. 4 in Muttontown & 5 in N Syosset this morning.
  13. https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/mdl/nbm Here’s a link to latest presentation of NBM v4.2: https://vlab.noaa.gov/documents/6609493/7858320/2024-05-09_NBMv4.2.pdf/
  14. I had light N wind at 230 ASL, while Muttontown lower elevation of 154 ASL had no winds at all.
  15. 20 in Syosset & 16 in Muttontown.
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