uofmiami

Flood Watch National Weather Service New York NY 405 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020 ...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY EVENING... CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179- 100915- /O.NEW.KOKX.FF.A.0001.200710T1000Z-200711T0400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex- Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven- Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic- Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen- Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange- Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester- New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)- Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwestern Suffolk-Northeastern Suffolk- Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk-Northern Queens- Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 405 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for Southern Connecticut, Northeast New Jersey, the Lower Hudson Valley, New York City and Long Island. * From Friday morning through Friday evening. * Heavy rain showers and embedded thunderstorms are forecast Friday into Friday evening. A total of 1 to 3 inches of rainfall is forecast with locally higher amounts possible. Torrential rainfall within a short period of time will be possible and this could lead to flooding of low lying, urban and poor drainage areas. Some smaller streams and rivers could exceed bankfull. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should flash flood warnings be issued.

Can only keep it at bay for so long. Was just a question of when and for how long once it arrives.

Around 1-2” it seems, locally higher spots, then hot for next week.

No worries, I figured you didn't know about the tropical potential, so I just put the map up.

Next tropical storm to be named in the Atlantic.

There goes another potential heatwave, never fails with onshore flow this summer.

Looks like EWR, LGA & JFK all hit 90 already.

Your satellite loop is showing yesterday. I’m thinking these clouds are going to keep a lid on temps with the backdoor front clouds racing in from the NE as well. Also, looks like heat for next week is legit with a potential shot at our first heatwave for NYC region.

Clouds are coming in from the N now & might thwart a run at 90. We shall see.

Is my cache on my browser messed up or is this a map from June 27th?

JFK hit 90 @ 1:30 pm today.

As long as skies are clear 90 seems a go for today. Tomorrow we’ll have to see if clouds pop up and thwart another attempt at 90.

Probably where seabreeze front is, since the clouds have limited our heating and the movement of the seabreeze front northward.

Have a hunch in a few days, Wed-Thu, the guidance will mute the heat in the extended. It’s been the pattern this summer so far & until the heat is within a few days on the models, I’m not biting on a heatwave.

I’ll add my photos from Muttontown when the cell passed N and we had the gust front roll through. Had some mammatus prior to the gust front, but was in the pool and couldn’t take pics. Gust front approaching: Gust front after passage:

2020 never fails to impress, just crazy.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0312.html

Guess it didn’t die out, haha. Enjoy the appetizer cell, I think today we see better storms later on the island.

Looks like a watch may be coming our way and for S NE https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1034.html

.10 in Syosset. Got hammered down by Wantagh at Brands Cycle, must have been close to .50 down there. Had some flooding on 135 heading home.

It’s the stagnant pattern. Some keep talking of 90+ constantly and it’s not happening. While we may get a day here or there, any talk of 90+ days consistently (heatwave) in the extended never happens as we get close to those forecasted hot days. Let’s just enjoy the mid to upper 80s for now, maybe 90 in the relaxation of onshore flow before it comes back yet again.

87 at 11:49 am

Should get to the mid-atlantic region perhaps. Ryan Maue has been posting on this for the past few days. His latest on the record depth of the SAL in the air.

Hit 90 in Syosset (89.6) & Muttontown (89.5). 1st 90 degree day for both.