AdamHLG

March 12 is calling. They want 1993 back.

If anything can be a little stronger I hope it’s the sun. This NYC bomb broke me. That was the storm of the year (or decade or even century beating 1978 if you’re Providence). Bring on spring. We got the January sleet bomb and the 2 week frozen moonscape single digit tundra. That was uber impressive and tracking that was a great ride. We can try again next year but I want to turn my outside pipes back on again and start washing my car. .

This really was the greatest meme of this storm the moment the King went down. .

No new moon until March 18. But that’s the next storm. #1993vibes .

This storm is not making its own cold air. When do the Kuchera maps come out? In fact its so warm I couldn't even catch a draft in my flue to start my wood stove.

In Central / Northern Baltimore County that was 10-12" and then a sleet bomb and then (and still currently) a cold spell for the ages. The most snow since 2016 - it's been 10 years. Many schools closed for about a week. Major impact storm. If this is all we get all winter I will take it in a heartbeat. Hopefully we are not done, but imagine the mood around here if we didn't even get that?

It’s pretty quiet in here for a once in 30 year storm. Surprised it does not have its own thread. Whats the best way to track the location of the front so I can time it for central Baltimore county ? .

As we sit here today, I think we are exactly where we want to be for next weekend based on what I learn on this forum every winter: 1) We don't want to be in the bullseye 10 days out; 2) We are OK because these events always trend north; 3) we are also ok because these events always trend south; 3) weekend rule; 4) the storm will make its own cold air; 5) the models did not ingest the latest data from airplanes; and 6) its a Baja ejection thing so no worries. We are so back.

I rate the likelihood of a storm by how many new pages to a thread get posted here after a suite of model runs. I don’t have science behind it but it’s the most accurate read of the situation. .

From what I gather there was some good news or one hell of a lot of willing this storm northwest. I guess I’ll need to look now too. .

Just …. Wow .

This is shaping up to be a classic storm. For those that have been here a while you know your own climo. If past major storms flipped to sleet it’s going to happen again. If you’re N&W of the metros you’ll flip toward the end - maybe. I think climo situational awareness is just as important as model runs. .

If you're bored waiting for the King, take a look in the other thread for NEXT weekend.

Has there been any updates in the data today as to potential onset time? Ive heard from noon Saturday to overnight Sunday.

I would think for Baltimore area - north the Kuchera Ratio would be more accurate (if we want to call it that - - maybe "applicable" is a better word) based on the temp profiles for a cold powdery snow.