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Everything posted by wthrmn654
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Montauk early forecast, if it's nearly moderate at montauk it's going be way worse further west.
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- heavy rain
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Winds really died down. Could be a cold night tonight
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There was suppose to be a rocket launch in Florida tonight, I wonder if related.
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Nws model blend raised the totals area wide earlier.
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Wind maps are usually fairly close for coastal areas.. anywhere away from coast is a coin toss unless good mixing is achieved
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Honestly, that doesn't look all that out of line imo. Edit: didn't see the 72 on jersey lol minus that one of course
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Wind watches just went up. Unless I'm mistaken, pretty early to be doing watches or have i lost touch with criteria??
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Cmc isn't running on most sites since yesterday for some reason
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I wonder if the gfs and icon are showing a to tucked in outcome compared to a bit more east and stronger like the euro?
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Tropical system wise i think there doing very very good this year. Other then that can't really say
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What the euro ai and euro showed at 18z yesterday, showing a big shift south/ east, hasn't shown since for the 00z or 06z. So it was likely a wonky run. Time will tell.
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On Nwschat there still on board with a nice storm.
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00z icon is not a shift south , it's closer in fact..
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Let's go Jerry! LET'S GET US TO KAREN!!
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
wthrmn654 replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Wow I missed the Barry dude drama apparently, but wow, that explains why the pages are enjoyable again! Thanks to the wonderful staff here !! oh and finally can use this sign! -
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
wthrmn654 replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
As of 11 am bulletin Jerry has formed in central Atlantic -
Yeah you basically answered what I was saying lol
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Idk if anyone can confirm/ verify but hasn't the icon been the most consistent with this nearly going up the florida coast before going east for many runs? I may have my models mixed up but I can't remember
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I maybe wrong but to my eye it looks like it's going be north and west of forecast from nhc based on the that solid line at bottom before next offical track update. No?
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Wooo..... didn't notice this but look what the latest consensus models suggest .. look at that bank west near the end. Can't tell if that's a blooper or fluke
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Or, enable everything but the euro stuff to see all the Google ideas, by going to menu button https://deepmind.google.com/science/weatherlab
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https://www.weathernerds.org/models/genc.html
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For entertainment, I highly suggest gong and watching what the nam 12k does with the 2 storms. Wild what it does.
