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wthrmn654

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Everything posted by wthrmn654

  1. 00z versus actual, shows verification versus forecasted and what has happened intensity wise.
  2. The Gulf, thing looks like a lot of blah right now while the Atlantic one looks a little bit better actually.
  3. Do you have anything normal to say or different? You say the same stupid crap every time...
  4. i desire a hurricane to hit long island so this whole dead tropics and lack of winters past few years stops! its getting so old fast!
  5. @WxWatcher007 just making a funny while we all wait for winter, i mean tropical-ness
  6. BREAKING NEWS: we now have 2 ⁰% chances 5 things nothing over 20% Back to your regularly schedule programming!
  7. Then if you compare it to the I guess 48hr+ highest anything gets is 30%rest are 10%
  8. It's kinda a pointless tag too with it having no tropical anything really, only subtropical 1. Northwestern Atlantic: A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics over the next few days as it moves north- northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern United States. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
  9. So gfs 12z unless I'm missing something, only shows 1 tropical thing, that's in the Gulf the entire run. Or am I wrong, I'm working so not fully looking at it
  10. Barely anything. If anything laughable gefs looking run the last few slides.
  11. Some key things that made Ernesto basically an "er- nothing" would be the following: ●The forward movement was much higher then a normal typical TC setup. I feel that if it was more or less going slower then 10 mph, it would of better absorbed the ocean heat and possibly not gotten into such crappy environment. ●Dry air, dry air, dry air! That system could not shake the dry air that was getting wrapped around it. ●running into shear at various times on top of the other negative factors didn't help any. ● the front it ran into kinda also hurt it to an extent. Right as it was looking and acting betterbefore Bermuda, the front started hurting it. Again very much ties into the whole fast forward motion
  12. And that's a wrap with Ernesto, it's becoming tilted and shear is now starting to affect it with the peak already achieved.
  13. Water spout? Tornado? Used Upton and Boston radar both show something weird, the gif loop shows better but I can't post it..
  14. Dunno if anyone posted this but, BREAKING: Route 34 near the Stevenson Dam is GONE! Horrible flood situation in Monroe with reports of the Air National Guard en route.
  15. @CurlyHeadBarrett trolling posts is frowned Upon @Rjay
  16. I think he's got some dry air issues again.
  17. We can add to the fact, it's barely intensified, per microwave with most recent being less then an hour old.
  18. The raw output form the hurricane-regional model guidance now all show an overnight or Monday morning peak intensity of 75-kt or higher in the next 12-24 h, and the latest NHC intensity forecast now shows a bit more intensification overnight. However, Ernesto will quickly move over cooler ocean waters just after 12 h and weakening will likely be well underway by tomorrow afternoon.
  19. You aren't seeing the bigger picture and continually keep focusing on the wrong things. 1 model versus multiple models.
  20. Doesn't look bad at all honestly just sounds windy
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