AirNelson39
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Everything posted by AirNelson39
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Based on reports and on current radar this is shaping up to be an impressive win for the HRRR, it was so consistent with putting heavy snow and decent accumulations up 85 to Hickory and points East. I’ll give it props on this one!
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This system will be a good one to really show if the HRRR is as bad as we think it is with winter storms. I’m still not excited for this for the Piedmont/Hickory area. We’ve seen decent snow and 34 degrees a few times this years and it equated to nothing. Hope I’m wrong but the temps don’t have me excited. I think we will be lucky to get another trace with 1-2” in the immediate foothills.
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I believe it was showing a major ice storm for I-40 corridor less than 12 hours out with last system and we had 34 and rain all day. That left a pretty bad taste in my mouth for the RGEM
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I’d say this is closer to reality especially for Piedmont and foothills. We’ll be lucky to see another dusting and if we do it’ll be gone within a few hours. After the way things have gone all winter I just can’t get excited for any model run. Depressing
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Saw a few flurries under those radar returns last night after 10pm here in SE Caldwell County. Was hoping for more given the returns. Looks like we may have another shot at some more flurries today with more returns breaking containment.
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Just like I suspected 33 and rain in Hickory. Sad stuff.
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Pretty jealous right now!
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Temp steady at 33, the dusting from earlier is gone. Looking like 33 and rain overnight. Weather apps have done a great job nailing the temps here. NWS forecasts aren’t looking good for NW Piedmont.
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Dusting here in Hickory (Caldwell County side), nothing on the roads. Looks like we are on the very tail end too. Might be all the wrote in regards to snow on this one.
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Not sure what model/models WeatherUnderground uses for their hourly forecast but they don’t have Hickory getting below 34 tonight. Little concerning on how we’ll get any ZR accrual with that. I know it’s an app but the models are clearly not impressed with surface temps in this area and the temp forecasts are typically pretty spot on. These borderline events never pan out.
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Brad P isn’t feeling it especially for the foothills. I’m not feeling this setup either and think the models are way overdone.
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Good grief. Someone take the pens away from him. Pathetic.
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Heavy, half dollar size flakes now.
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FINALLY all snow and moderate/heavy in southern Caldwell. No accumulations yet.
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This is why you don’t trust your phone apps. This is still the current forecast from my accuweather app. There’s absolutely zero snow on the ground.
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Where are you located? Guessing you aren’t in Boone lol. Here in Granite we didn’t even have 1/8” an inch before it melted lol
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Not seeing how southern Caldwell gets any accumulations out of this. Heading towards a major bust.
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Going to take some seriously heavy snow to accumulate here I’m afraid. I’m thinking 1-2” in hickory is being pretty optimistic. Will be lucky to see an inch if we can’t get accumulations in the middle of the night.
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Radar depiction is showing all snow but a heavy rain/sleet/snow mix southern Caldwell County. Thought it would have changed fully by now in these heavier bands.
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35 degrees and mostly rain still here at the southern tip of Caldwell County. Has had snow mixed in for over an hour now but is really struggling to changeover to all snow.
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It’s been modeled as mostly a daytime event for the last 24 hours or more. The brunt of the snow has and is suppose to come from the ULL which isn’t anywhere close yet.
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WilkesboroDude said the skies hadn’t had time to heal for a decent event lol.
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I don’t think he’s ever got a map right for anyone south of VA. He’s made some hideous maps like this in the past where he’s always wayyyy to bullish.
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Pics please. Would like to save for post storm reference
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Wow! What a change from the GFS. It has finally joined virtually all other modeling. Goes to show the GFS might be one of the worst models right now, if the consensus is to be believed.
