Wintrest

This makes sense. If it weren’t for… threats/possibilities… like these, and potential tracking of such, I’m not sure this forum would have the life it still does. Any hope of winter weather gets me pumped, and every dash is a dagger. I feel like a junkie. True to form, I keep coming back. That said, this place is an alternative to the mainstream, and given many of the posts, one that you can learn something from. Some posts are leaning social media-esque, but what can you reasonably expect these days? Same posters spout legit knowledge on the board in the next post, so the value is clear. I recall lurking in the 2009-2010 winter, and yeah it’s a different landscape, but with much of the same crowd. Perhaps the point about thread creation is legit, but we’ve been in a shitty long term pattern that we still do not understand for a good while. I feel that there will be a turning point at which time some decent winter weather returns to the Mid-Atlantic, and hopefully that doesn’t take too much longer. Climate is like that, until it isn’t. It’s exciting to see the short term changes though, and that’s why I still enjoy his place.

What are the years of January MECS/HCES that were forecast 5+ days, compared to those that came together T-Minus 72 hours. Starting timeframe is 1978. What were the biggest surprises during that time?

Well said. This is just the start! The number of unseen/not-considered data points in forecasting is mind boggling, especially in the 3-5 day range (particularly with focus on energetic systems). We know the info is clearly there, thought what it is and its relevancy is another thing. I’m very excited to see what this will contribute to forecasting in both the short and long(er) term.

Maybe too cold (and dry) for a relatively low energy system to build the strength displace a behemoth. This cold air mass was not letting any scrubs through… the gatekeeper.

As if nothing ever happened in north Arlington as well. the dew point rose 5 points though, so that’s a win in some almost entirely intangible way

25?

Commanders did alright this season btw…

We don’t have written records going back that far.. though that would be a truly remarkable/unbelievable outcome. Ever possible though.

Does anyone doubt 5ish inches for the… general… forum?