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cleetussnow

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Everything posted by cleetussnow

  1. cleetussnow
    airmass is trash. I would think an 988 LP would chuck precip further west. I think the convection in the Atlantic is having an effect. But typical with winter, rain to maine. I just hope the western shifts stop.
  2. cleetussnow
    Per gfs if that the LP next weekend goes much further west we can track convection maybe. That’s a threat.
  3. cleetussnow
    if those 6 days threats were our oasis then we would die of thirst. Mirages or minimal qpf to quench thirst. Just then another oasis appears 7 days off, so we crawl and claw on our bedraggled bellies toward it, parched and desperate, but that's all we can do! track. We always have hope and hope never lets us down. here's to winter 2022. i might just turtle up and conserve energy.
  4. cleetussnow
    I was living in germany I think - honestly have no memory of it. I also don't remember 78 being a hit there, but i could be mixing those 2 years. NOW i do remember something up there in 94....
  5. cleetussnow
    I could go with 93 to 2015. My first storm memory was 77. The next one is 93. Lol.
  6. cleetussnow
    Wouldn’t surprise me if this pattern persists for the long haul. The pacific is big heater and it needs to cool off, and I don’t know what mechanism would do that anytime soon. I think that little snowy epoch we had for about 15 years blew itself out finally. It’s the mid west’s turn in the barrel.
  7. cleetussnow
    There really isn’t a strong case to be made for the next 6 days. One can argue the LR because models show promise, but La la land is really day 6. Or 5. It’s like the models don’t believe the fast flow is sustained enough of the time. Next winter will probably repeat if you figure the pacific will remain a furnace. I’m hedging that. The west will do alright and Alaska cold. Could be like this for awhile ala the 80s.
  8. cleetussnow
    IIRC he scored. Don’t think we will
  9. cleetussnow
    Well, maybe the trend you mention...the lead vort that’s playing monkey wrench with this one...if that gets weaker as we get closer, which it appears too, does that follow your observation? I’m not sure myself
  10. cleetussnow
    there are a couple that went from huggers to cutters. Last weekend fits the description
  11. cleetussnow
    And the old playbook of the GFS showing a good storm track in the LR, only to lose it, then it comes back in the short term. We’ve seen this movie yet we didn’t not know how this one ends.
  12. cleetussnow
    That last storm moved hundreds of miles in just a few model cycles before game time. Different set up, of course. Models were steadfast prior and a miller b cut instead. The coast should be interested in this one at least. Inland nasomuch.
  13. cleetussnow
    I’m pretty sick of that song and dance but I keep coming back. Seriously the 18z eps just cooked up a miller b with inland runners in the mix. Might be a head fake but that’s the reason I come in here.
  14. cleetussnow
    MWGA. MaWGA...
  15. cleetussnow
    12z was meh. Tonight’s Oz may not be
  16. cleetussnow
    Well I don’t know if sampling is what’s behind the big changes but many said now is about when to expect a big swing.
  17. cleetussnow
    Maybe we can make lemonade with this lemon fresh storm - 50/50 block so we can lock in the next one.
  18. cleetussnow
    It times well with the next system. Without a block the fast flow lends credence to a fish storm so that's what's in the offing this weekend. There isn't a whole ton of support for the snowy solution now save a couple runs here and there for this weekend. Let the fish have at it, and we can feast on the next one.
  19. cleetussnow
    I was thinking 4 days is when models will home in on solutions, but they might already be homed in. Looks whiffy. However that last 2 events, which were never really interesting for these parts, moved in 100 mile increments right up until game time and outcomes were west and warmer. Different scenario, but point is don’t buy anything esp. in marginal conditions until game time. If I had to bet, this whiffs or rains. Too many variables have to align for the snowy solutions.
  20. cleetussnow
    Confirm huge iguanas in Miami. scart me half to death when I reached for a drink in my beach chair at the pool at the fountainblue and a 5 footer was quietly eating lettuce next to my chair. I know they are vegan and everything but still....yichhh. This was right after the kill on sight order the state issued!
  21. cleetussnow
    Weekend rule is in effect this winter. Uncanny.
  22. cleetussnow
    The upstate NY forum is on that one. It’s probably going to be dismissed until it scores some coups.
  23. cleetussnow
    Honestly this thing isn't moving around that much on the GFS for this time lead. 1 wild pitch in there yesterday up and in, but the rest grazing the plate. slight adjustments are all we need. Edit. 6z was well outside in the dirt too.
  24. cleetussnow
    Ha I was just thinking about his old Weekend Rule. That has been in play this winter a bunch of times (outcomes notwithstanding).
  25. cleetussnow
    I mentioned that earlier - it might have been a real bias in the old days, or it might have been voodoo. I'm sure there are a host of new issues with the Euro that are more "real." It is uncanny though that we are seeing that again.
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