cleetussnow

good reference

To his credit, that is a conservative outlook for him.

Buddy of mine is there rn. Says it is amazing and sent pictures of norther lights last night. Thinking of making this a stopover to break up the flight to France or something.

It is. Its the Snow Advance Index. The problem with it is there is no correlation to anything in terms of winter afaik. Its was the speed of the snow advance or something like that meant something supposedly. Not exactly sure. The concept makes sense at a glance so seems plausible but doesn't appear to have any skill.

Once in awhile I will throw the sensor unit on mine into the basement freezer to see if I can trick the wife into thinking its minus 10 out. About 15 years ago I recorded an hour of the weather channel as a major mid 2000s blizzard was about to hit. On April fools day I let the recording play in the living room and left to see what would happen… Last summer we got some new mini split A/C units with remote thermostadts. I threw one of those in the freezer for awhile and then took a picture of the 41 degree reading on it and sent it to my wife at work to show her how good the units cooled the house. None got a laugh and now that I am thinking about it, I didn’t get any afterwards either. Try something else next time I guess…

The commercials are really tiresome. I used to TIVO games and skip through the commercials. Game took about 1.5 hours max. Now I have NFL gamepass and switch over to redzone when my game has a commercial.

I didn't renew my VT camp lease. Big NE winter incoming.

I would equate this thread to a 4-6 inch snow event in winter which goes to show how important the rain is to all of us. Did well with this here in Westchester. I don't have a gauge, but I'd eyeball fishpond level is up about 2.5 inches. For here the models weren't too bad.

Certainly did here

We just had about 30 minutes of heavy rain here north of HPN. Had to be close to an inch. Shit was heavy.

Thats what she said

Thats The One. I got over 30 inches. I learned 2 things: it can snow a lot and you can predict it (somewhat). Read the the paper to track it.

Maybe in the midst of it?

Always prefer a favorable Pacific look myself. Tends to stick around and offer up more chances since the conditions can stick around awhile. No idea how we get out of this NINA state for the upcoming winter unless as you say other marine warmth anomalies alter things.

I keep going back to that volcano water vapor ejection. I think the jury is still out. The hot and dry air masses all around the midriff of the entire northern hemroidisphere, on every landmass on this side of the tropics…seems too unlikely of a coincidence that there isn't a common cause. I know nasa said no but what do they know? If they stuck to space flight maybe they would be flying in space right now.

I can envision of sort of whip motion of the long wave pattern with extreme heights and troughs for a time at the inevitable tide-turn of the season's change. If we can be on the right side of that a couple of times, who knows? I am not envious of someone who has to make a seasonal forecast though. Tell you something - a few people have already said 2023/24 is the one to watch (not that that theory is investible at this point.)

I was tempted to weenie that but yes...maybe...

Or come with a ring.

I was channeling my inner Chuck Yeager in order to not die. I rode something like 90k miles before I hung up the Harley. It wasn't always fun.

And they don't give up the chase. whatever happened to those killer African bees? I thought we all supposed to be dead by now from them.

Had a yellow jacket fly into my helmet once while going 60 on my motorcycle. He’s buzzing around in there enraged and I am trying to be cool about it. Then another one stung me in the neck. Died on impact but still stung me. Took all I had to stay calm and keep driving. Happily the one in my helmet escaped and didnt sting me in the eyeball. That was exciting. I also ate a bee doing yard work once. Nailed me on the tongue. The wife jacked me full of Benadryl and made me stay awake a couple hours in case my throat and tongue swole shut. funny I used to be deathly allergic to bug venoms in my youth after a run in with fire ants in texas. Almost died. After that I was treated with bee venom therapy for a year or so and since then I can tolerate stings pretty well. Back to the motorcycle, bee stings were a regular occurrence on my hands and neck. Utterly sucks because every sting hits like a hammer blow.

Where did we land on the impact of warm SSTs up here for impact on snowfall for coastals? Factor? Non factor? Unknown? This condition stands out this year big time.

I think my local temp departure was +6 for December, so I remember that and not much else. 20 inches plus on the 1/17 event in western NY. Most of us weren't even fringed.