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cleetussnow

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Everything posted by cleetussnow

  1. Maybe the seasonal trend will kick this thing back north. Oh wait.
  2. South and weaker on TTB - but doesn't *look* as dramatic south as the Euro through hr18.
  3. Also I thought the Ukie scores pretty well - comparable to the GFS. 2 top models in agreement is more than spooky.
  4. It's hard to discount the Euro wholesale. It's been south a couple of times over the last few days of model cycles only to recover northerly. On those occasions, the EPS held steady. THIS time the EPS followed suit south. THAT concerns me.
  5. Can’t know for sure, but I’d call the airline and try to get in monday night if you can. Less hassle. But call soon before everyone gets the same idea.
  6. this one is cooked but I don’t think there’s anyone left who thinks otherwise. Albany ho!
  7. Waaaay too early to discount a north trend, especially since the GFS is also trended north, though not as dramatic. The storm sure can resolve 100 miles more dramatic, and the GFS can do that on its own whim.
  8. Heres the PD3 rainer: this will go over the top of NYC with that high position and congrats buffalo.
  9. Seasonal trend I don’t believe in. Model trends around 1 system I DO believe in. Nothing is really preventing this being a complete rainer up to I 84 and perhaps further and there is plenty of time for that to manifest. Icon FTW. And I owe NAO an apology.
  10. this small move north means a lot for the metro and now even N/W. More of that and its white rain for many. On to the Euro.
  11. Agree re late north push. This isn’t unusual, in fact its fairly regular. Nevermind that, just generally the last 36 hrs seem to have larger swings than we would see at this range. Locked isn’t a thing.
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