stormy

Yes, I dropped figuratively. You were sharp to catch that! Cheer up! I do understand that you were being metaphorical with that sentence. I don't need any lessons on linguistics or geography. The only thing I ask for is a heads up from You at least 5 days before my first 6 inch snowfall next winter.

.45" today puts me up to 1.43" since Monday. Some locations in Augusta County now exceed 2 inches. Light rain and a chilly 57 degrees with northeast winds of 8 - 15 mph at 2:40.

Yes, as a matter of fact I looked at both yesterday. "a few small blue spots" makes my case. Perhaps more than a "few". As Mattie says about the drought, "I think we'll be fine".

Dry this morning, but .99" rainfall since Monday. The HRRR, NAM 3 and NAM 12 all bring another round of rain back into the Valley today, possibly .50" - 1.00".

"The whole world is on fire" needs to be quantified to be correct. It needs to be a measurable quantity. To say that the United States has suffered excessive heat for the past week is not true. To say that Texas has suffered excessive heat for the past week is true.

please expand on your thoughts

The whole world is on fire figuratively ????? This is a joke in reality! Please don't misunderstand PSU............. I must question your assumptions as they are simply not correct. The eastern U.S. has been cooler than normal for the past 90 days. The Atlantic SST has cooled dramatically in the western section though the eastern Atlantic is anomalously very warm. I am of the opinion that we must be completely honest with assessments of short range climate aberrations........... Otherwise, we are propagators of snake oil........................

Congratulations!!!!! I had 3 drops.................

The WPC challenges both the GFS and ECM by giving the Valley at least an inch of rain next week. The GFS gives .06" and the ECM gives .07".

I do not claim to be an expert, but there is a lot of stuff going on to our south. I believe that we may come back to a wetter solution. Historically, when severe drought threatens in the MA, salvation arrives at the last minute.

The wet pattern for next week has been mostly cancelled.

After 24 hrs. the models thankfully still believe that we turn wet next week from a blocky pattern with a cut-off ULL nearby. For Augusta County, the 6 day qp ending Sat. June 24 is GFS 4.11", ECM 5.53", GEM 3.30". This gives a blend of 4.31"

For the first 14 days of June, I have received .12". Normal would have been 1.75". 6% of normal.

This morning, GFS, ECM and GEM all see a wet pattern developing late next week. Probably only one run away from collapse but nice to look at.

18z GFS is very dismal for rain during the next 10 days.

The widely ranging totals are to be expected in June. The Va. State Climatoligst used to tell me. Jim, we have to go into the spring wet, otherwise it will be very easy to slip into drought. We went into the spring dry this year. Drought will be likely this summer unless we witness a complete reversal of the pattern.................... Will it be a drought disaster???

Thank you very much for all the work you put into this. I see a scatter effect since the 60's that cannot be definitive toward any end result.

In Cincinati??

42 degrees with blue skies at 6:30 The ULL over Maine is finally shifting east and 500 mb winds are backing to NW.

OK...... Whats your drift????? The first 60 days were warmer than normal. The last 60 days have been cooler than normal.

115 miles southwest of D.C., the atmospheric smoke is more pronounced than any previous day. It reminds of the atmospheric haze that was prominent during summer 50 years ago, but rare in recent years. 42 at 6 am.

Abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions will worsen during the next 7 days for most areas. There are some indications that the pattern may break down for next week.

46 degrees at 6 am. This would have been normal for May 2.

59 degrees at 2 pm on June 4 is 19 degrees below normal.

46 degrees at 6:30. That's 12 degrees below normal.