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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    looks like Tue night Wed?
  2. Brian5671
    I doubt it rains for 5 straight days...
  3. Brian5671
    definitely a west trend once 2nd LF takes place. Not much time over water to re-strengthen verbatim
  4. Brian5671
    Very rare to see a map like that. If that comes close to verifying there's going to be billions in losses from flooding.
  5. Brian5671
    Not on the Euro. and the other models give us a good PRE
  6. Brian5671
    Looks like just about everyone gets the goods today
  7. Brian5671
    Wild storm here-some tree damage. Looks like some sort of boundary as storms are training along it with nothing to the south of here
  8. Brian5671
    crazy for an ensemble smoothed mean
  9. Brian5671
    Very rare to get an all day washout this time of year. Spoke to 2 people at work yesterday who said "it's supposed to rain all weekend" Ummm no. 90% of the time is rain free.
  10. Brian5671
    That seems to be the main threat with this (hvy rains)-with so much time over land masses hard to see how it becomes a strong/windy storm.
  11. Brian5671
    The PRE might be the biggest effect on us-the actual storm appears to recurve OTS
  12. Brian5671
    yeah but it's the ICON
  13. Brian5671
    89 here
  14. Brian5671
    Gets old. Hate to wish away summer but I'm looking forward to some cooler weather come September
  15. Brian5671
    Just missed me to the north-could hear the rumbles but no rain here outside of a light shower overnight
  16. Brian5671
    Onto August-models showing a cool shot in the heartland but seems like we will be on the edge of that at best...
  17. Brian5671
    Kind of like monthly temp departures--every month is +2 around here.
  18. Brian5671
    Part of the issue is that everyone went hysterical on the big season so the expectations are high...Even a busy season does not alway equate to landfalls... and the cold/snowy forecasts are a staple from certain forecasters-just have to see through the hype....Last winter even remotely cold snowy was 20-21...and even that was a great 3 week stretch and not the whole winter or anything close to it.
  19. Brian5671
    Season doesn't really get going til August. That said, the Nina is not going crazy so that could lead to a reduced # of storms.
  20. Brian5671
    Night time warm front coming and it's already juicy out...I'll bet we all get something
  21. Brian5671
    Often seems that it ends up N and E of the initial forecasts as well...
  22. Brian5671
    models are awful-the 12z 3K NAM-has nothing over eastern LI yet it's pouring
  23. Brian5671
    That was so overhyped like 95% of tropical systems here.
  24. Brian5671
    SE NJ always seems to be a hot spot for showers and T-storms.
  25. Brian5671
    Steady rain has moved in here
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