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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. been a trend all day-continue northward ticks...
  2. Terrible. BDR did that-they showed 14 for 1996 which is absurd
  3. yep as the dry slot approaches could flip to lighter sleet or even ZR
  4. That enhanced stripe kissing LI is likely the coastal impacts...
  5. The trolling shtick got old a decade ago....
  6. doubt it actually happens that way but who cares it shows a great event
  7. You'll still see a nasty swath of ice on the southern flank of the storm regardless of where it ends up.
  8. Wouldn't surprise me to see the north ticks continue.
  9. Too many people speaking in absolutes too many days out...5 days out ANYTHING is on the table
  10. Tuesday-air traffic will be a mess for a couple of days-later is better
  11. 18Z GFS late last week had a crazy run with 30-50 inches of snow in PA and some nearby places-it was gone on the next run-but yeah the 18Z run (happy hour run) has shown some crazy solutions over the years
  12. 4-8 would take some close to seasonal averages....
  13. Too many setting the bar too high for the next event. If it's a HECS or even MECS you won't know until 2-3 days prior, not 5-6
  14. Ice is often overdone on these models...heavy ZR doesn't accrete well-just runs off.
  15. Out of our area-but the 0z Euro has close to 3 inches of ZR in the south!
  16. You want the GFS and its products showing a miss south at this stage.
  17. Agree-you want it wrapped up into one system. Back edge snows rarely if ever work out as well
  18. Blizzard of 96 had brutal cold in place ahead of it.
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