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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    and many do not carry flood insurance so a crazy event of 10 inches would cause alot of hardship.
  2. Brian5671
    For a tropical system? Not really a big deal over several days other than some urban or small stream issues.... 7 or 10 inches like earlier runs yes. Need to watch for trends but today has shown a west and quicker trend....notice the 20 inch totals in GA/SC have reduced now that the storm will move out of there quicker.
  3. Brian5671
    GFS and Euro now fairly run of the mill for rainfall around here 3-4 inches over 5 days won't cause that much in the way of trouble...and the west trend may not be done yet
  4. Brian5671
    CMC moving west last 3 runs with the highest rain totals-maybe seeing a further west track of the low (best rains usually west of track)
  5. Brian5671
    looks like Tue night Wed?
  6. Brian5671
    I doubt it rains for 5 straight days...
  7. Brian5671
    definitely a west trend once 2nd LF takes place. Not much time over water to re-strengthen verbatim
  8. Brian5671
    Very rare to see a map like that. If that comes close to verifying there's going to be billions in losses from flooding.
  9. Brian5671
    Not on the Euro. and the other models give us a good PRE
  10. Brian5671
    Looks like just about everyone gets the goods today
  11. Brian5671
    Wild storm here-some tree damage. Looks like some sort of boundary as storms are training along it with nothing to the south of here
  12. Brian5671
    crazy for an ensemble smoothed mean
  13. Brian5671
    Very rare to get an all day washout this time of year. Spoke to 2 people at work yesterday who said "it's supposed to rain all weekend" Ummm no. 90% of the time is rain free.
  14. Brian5671
    That seems to be the main threat with this (hvy rains)-with so much time over land masses hard to see how it becomes a strong/windy storm.
  15. Brian5671
    The PRE might be the biggest effect on us-the actual storm appears to recurve OTS
  16. Brian5671
    yeah but it's the ICON
  17. Brian5671
    89 here
  18. Brian5671
    Gets old. Hate to wish away summer but I'm looking forward to some cooler weather come September
  19. Brian5671
    Just missed me to the north-could hear the rumbles but no rain here outside of a light shower overnight
  20. Brian5671
    Onto August-models showing a cool shot in the heartland but seems like we will be on the edge of that at best...
  21. Brian5671
    Kind of like monthly temp departures--every month is +2 around here.
  22. Brian5671
    Part of the issue is that everyone went hysterical on the big season so the expectations are high...Even a busy season does not alway equate to landfalls... and the cold/snowy forecasts are a staple from certain forecasters-just have to see through the hype....Last winter even remotely cold snowy was 20-21...and even that was a great 3 week stretch and not the whole winter or anything close to it.
  23. Brian5671
    Season doesn't really get going til August. That said, the Nina is not going crazy so that could lead to a reduced # of storms.
  24. Brian5671
    Night time warm front coming and it's already juicy out...I'll bet we all get something
  25. Brian5671
    Often seems that it ends up N and E of the initial forecasts as well...
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