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Everything posted by Brian5671
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February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Honestly, who cares anymore-let's just get an early spring and put this disaster behind us. BTW any years with an inch of snow b/w 12/1-2/28 Met winter????? -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
I think we had a SSW last Feb too-but as we've seen this year-no guarantee how those play out. All we got this year was 2 quick arctic outbreaks that came and went -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
the problem is that the same general pattern continues-troughs into the west, no blocking, SE ridge, any decent storm is cutting with that... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
12z models horrid....cutters cutters and more cutters... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
makes sense with a storm track to our N and W. I'm sure they were below normal the years were we really cashed in.... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
look at the run from 2008-2013-it really drops off after that.... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
look at the run from 2008-2013-it really drops off after that.... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Phantom. GFS has shown that several times this past winter and last few. -NAO has been rare the last 6 years -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
The strong PAC jet is what really killed it-toss in an unfavorable SOI and zero Atlantic side blocking and the foundation was laid for the clunker we have dealt with to date. -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
With no Atlantic blocking, a pure snow event will be tough....Need to get a front end thump and then to light rain drizzle.... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
north of the city does better verbatim, but you're right the primary in the lakes is weaker but not weak enough to give us mostly snow....yet. Better trends today for sure. -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
JB always hangs on to the bitter end. In Feb 2012 he was still barking that it was coming even though it was obvious by then it was not. Maybe we get a window end of month, but Pac Jet and no Atlantic help bother me. Need an over running pattern. Any decent storm will cut.... - also, when you see it snowing in Seattle, that's usually not a good sign for us... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
That model is god-awful. -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
I think you're right on the last part. Let's hope we can get a HECS/MECS out of it... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
mostly rain.... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
people have been talking about an SOI crash for a month...hasn't happened -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
the 2nd wave is coming in as a massive cutter on the GFS-it will vaporize the dusting from Monday -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
What went wrong (so far) Strong Pac Jet into the West Coast SOI-mostly positive AO/NAO-mostly positive MJO-mostly in bad phases of 4/5/6 for the bulk of the winter -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Euro weeklies horrendous beyond belief this season.... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Later sunsets, DST starts in a little over a month...let's go TORCH!!!! -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
At this point who cares....it's over for the most part. -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Late October/Early Nov Snow-the kiss of death -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
I think most are lamenting the death of a decent wintry period. Sure we could get a storm or two, but the big winter is dead and weeks of disappointment on individual threats has certainly taken its toll. One of the worst winters to date by far.... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
welcome to the dark side-a few holdouts left, but most have jumped ship by now.... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
the ultimate kick in the teeth-blocking develops 4/1 and lasts till Memorial day....