Brian5671

you know it's bad when a weak low north of Lake Superior is considering something hopeful.

regression to the mean. We've had a hell of a run, but the last few years show us that every year won't have 40-60 inches of snow here...

The GFS is not overly cold air-most of the truly arctic air is along the Canadian border with some intrusion into our area from time to time but nothing really out of the ordinary really.

38 here and cloudy-it's got that damp feel where you know it's rain coming and not frozen

he's right, if Jan is done snowwise, there's one more month of met winter.

I'll take one more decent storm and be happy. I think the idea of a longer lasting big pattern is on life support.

No cold air, suppression, meh, looks like January is about done...

that would work....something to track at least instead of 40 degrees and cloudy or partly cloudy every day

that's a cutter on the euro-mostly rain after some initial snow

OP models are not worth much past 5-6 days....surely you know that by now?

hasn't done much yet-no cold air so Saturday's storm is all rain. Hopefully we can get some true arctic air in, otherwise we're blocking 40 degree air.

hopefully that NAO wraps up in March-last few years of it starting in March/April have ruined our springs

wow-completely different from GFS although that looks like suppression city

any cold air? The GFS is warm

Not much cold air anywhere per the GEFS in the next week to 10 days. January will have some fairly high positive temp deparatures given that many places around here are running +4 to +6 -

we'll need to rely on clippers or small events-maybe one will bomb out ala Miller B.

models coming into line for a big rain event mainly NY east Friday night into Sat will break a 15 day streak of no precip -

Nothing on the ground down here outside of parking lot piles from the 12/17 storm-reached 43 degrees....has been b/w 34 and 38 for a good week here until today....

did feel nice in the sun today. If it isn't going to snow give me warmth

stop reading what out of area forums are saying-a great pattern for Boston does not necessarily mean a great pattern here. if you look at models and what people are saying HERE 1. PAC jet is strong, record breaking and shows no sign of abating 2 airmass is polar/continental and not arctic-hence Saturday's event is rain 3. models continue to push the great pattern out, first it was 1/15, now it's 1/20...see the trend-remind you of anything? - it will snow probably a couple to a few times but this pattern doesn't seem as exciting as it did last week

that's 7 to 10 days away as usual. The calls for colder weather and storms have not come and models verify warmer and drier as it gets closer....

Pac hasn't cooperated in 3 years....doubt it starts now-this pattern doesnt look all that exciting anymore

Starting to feel like last year where the models had a great pattern then right about 1/15 or so, the rug gets pulled out....

This remains the big issue. Most places have less than a quarter inch of precip this month and the trend looks to continue-can argue over cutters and what's a great pattern but without any storms who cares what the pattern looks like.