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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. The GFS is not overly cold air-most of the truly arctic air is along the Canadian border with some intrusion into our area from time to time but nothing really out of the ordinary really.
  2. 38 here and cloudy-it's got that damp feel where you know it's rain coming and not frozen
  3. he's right, if Jan is done snowwise, there's one more month of met winter.
  4. I'll take one more decent storm and be happy. I think the idea of a longer lasting big pattern is on life support.
  5. No cold air, suppression, meh, looks like January is about done...
  6. that would work....something to track at least instead of 40 degrees and cloudy or partly cloudy every day
  7. that's a cutter on the euro-mostly rain after some initial snow
  8. OP models are not worth much past 5-6 days....surely you know that by now?
  9. hasn't done much yet-no cold air so Saturday's storm is all rain. Hopefully we can get some true arctic air in, otherwise we're blocking 40 degree air.
  10. hopefully that NAO wraps up in March-last few years of it starting in March/April have ruined our springs
  11. wow-completely different from GFS although that looks like suppression city
  12. any cold air? The GFS is warm
  13. Not much cold air anywhere per the GEFS in the next week to 10 days. January will have some fairly high positive temp deparatures given that many places around here are running +4 to +6 -
  14. we'll need to rely on clippers or small events-maybe one will bomb out ala Miller B.
  15. models coming into line for a big rain event mainly NY east Friday night into Sat will break a 15 day streak of no precip -
  16. Nothing on the ground down here outside of parking lot piles from the 12/17 storm-reached 43 degrees....has been b/w 34 and 38 for a good week here until today....
  17. did feel nice in the sun today. If it isn't going to snow give me warmth
  18. stop reading what out of area forums are saying-a great pattern for Boston does not necessarily mean a great pattern here. if you look at models and what people are saying HERE 1. PAC jet is strong, record breaking and shows no sign of abating 2 airmass is polar/continental and not arctic-hence Saturday's event is rain 3. models continue to push the great pattern out, first it was 1/15, now it's 1/20...see the trend-remind you of anything? - it will snow probably a couple to a few times but this pattern doesn't seem as exciting as it did last week
  19. that's 7 to 10 days away as usual. The calls for colder weather and storms have not come and models verify warmer and drier as it gets closer....
  20. Pac hasn't cooperated in 3 years....doubt it starts now-this pattern doesnt look all that exciting anymore
  21. Starting to feel like last year where the models had a great pattern then right about 1/15 or so, the rug gets pulled out....
  22. This remains the big issue. Most places have less than a quarter inch of precip this month and the trend looks to continue-can argue over cutters and what's a great pattern but without any storms who cares what the pattern looks like.
  23. I'd tend to agree-I feel like we get our best patterns with a -EPO
  24. if there's no cold air behind the front it's not all that tricky. This looks like a garbage airmass...
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