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Brian5671

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  1. Brian5671
    We had a SE ridge, but not overpowering combined with brutal cold air-storms ran along the boundary every few days & we were on the right side of the boundary. Dec was very warm and then it flipped on a dime very end of month.
  2. Brian5671
    yep, and most do not verify for the coast.....you need a supply of cold coming into the storm otherwise temps rise to freezing and just above fairly quickly-the other thing is that you need light to maybe moderate ZR. Heavier precip has a hard time accreting unless it's 1994 style cold.
  3. Brian5671
    that explained the messier storm strack with it running on the edge of that SE ridge
  4. Brian5671
    I think that backed off-we'll be cold, but the subzero cold is not happening around here-midwest maybe?
  5. Brian5671
    18z NAM looks similar to12z so that may be it for north bumps
  6. Brian5671
    This trended so far north DC barely gets 2 inches now.
  7. Brian5671
    tonights forecasts will adjust at the 4pm update....
  8. Brian5671
    And remember models often rush a pattern change....that'll buy us another week to 10 days. This is working out nicely-wouldn't mind if the pattern broke around 3/10 and we headed into spring.
  9. Brian5671
    yeah the further north one was today, the forecast did better-here it was 1-3 inches and we got about an inch...so low end verification. only snowed for about 2 hrs.
  10. Brian5671
    Very icy here. Had snow then freezing light rain then a light coating of snow on top of that....
  11. Brian5671
    Got an inch in Fairfield, but we lucked out getting under a heavy band. Snow was mostly over by 9am.
  12. Brian5671
    ZR here as the back edge approaches 32/30
  13. Brian5671
    light ZR here 31 degrees
  14. Brian5671
    light ZR here, 31 degrees
  15. Brian5671
    LOL. Fairfield did not close here and it looks like a good call. Most around here went to remote learning today vs an actual closure. We got about 1.5 inches but it has ended
  16. Brian5671
    yep. maybe some flurries later from the stuff in PA
  17. Brian5671
    Nam/Euro had the best idea. RGEM and GFS too far south.
  18. Brian5671
    about an inch here-best echos are shifting north now so we're about done. They didn't close schools here for once. Bravo.
  19. Brian5671
    I'd be surprised with an all out rainstorm given the -5 SD -AO and -NAO
  20. Brian5671
    about an inch on the ground here.
  21. Brian5671
    slightly colder and further south with snows
  22. Brian5671
    neither does the NAM-big jump south....
  23. Brian5671
    18z NAM south
  24. Brian5671
    Euro looks like the UKIE with a sharp cutoff just north of the city
  25. Brian5671
    They have the hot hand. Went for 3-7 here yesterday despite no model showing more than 3. They still busted slightly low in some spots (BDR had 7.8)
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