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Brian5671

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  1. Brian5671
    where do you access these models?
  2. Brian5671
    These tropical systems always seem to deliver. Model review: UKMET was the most consistent. RGEM/CMC did well at the end but were too far south until about 48 hrs out. HRRR did well-pinpointed the high totals along and north of I-95 Interesting to see the models correct south at the last second yesterday, that's been rare-usually the north trend continues right up to go time.
  3. Brian5671
    BUST
  4. Brian5671
    that's going to be easy to hit in all liklihood
  5. Brian5671
    about 6 inches of rain here, some branches down lots of flooded basements.
  6. Brian5671
    Some of those areas had 8-10 inches of rain from Henri just 10 days ago-so this round of flooding had a head start with saturated ground.
  7. Brian5671
    Close to 6 inches here
  8. Brian5671
    never underestimate a system with tropical origins...they almost always deliver....
  9. Brian5671
    wow just 64 here 20 miles north of you
  10. Brian5671
    getting blasted here with torrential rains
  11. Brian5671
    imagine if this had hit this afternoon....
  12. Brian5671
    very heavy rain now-some lightning to the south
  13. Brian5671
    lots of lightning here-but rain has been not that heavy so far...maybe about .75
  14. Brian5671
    some big lightning hits here-front still to our south
  15. Brian5671
    here too: TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 484 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 620 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2021 TORNADO WATCH 484 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS CTC001-007-009-011-020500- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0484.210901T2220Z-210902T0500Z/ CT . CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FAIRFIELD MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN NEW LONDON
  16. Brian5671
    same here we are 66-68 all day
  17. Brian5671
    my folks are in Ambler-they went to their basement-waiting for an update.
  18. Brian5671
    jeez my parents live just west of that...checking in with them now.
  19. Brian5671
    bunch of pop up cells forming east of NYC
  20. Brian5671
    the good news is that this is after rush hour and not during the day....
  21. Brian5671
    those bust calls will look silly by tomorrow am
  22. Brian5671
    New NAM jackpots most of CT with 6-7 inches of rain on top of what's fallen
  23. Brian5671
    18z NAM moved a bit south....6-8 inches N and W of NYC but the 2 inch line is further south-this run would drop a quick 3-4 inches in the city
  24. Brian5671
    18z is crazy again....
  25. Brian5671
    It'll be close...some models keep the warm front just to our south...if that happens we'll get hammered.
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