BuffaloWeather

2009-2010 was a really weird winter. Only snowfall was Dec/Jan/Feb, nothing at all any other month https://www.weather.gov/buf/BuffaloSnow

2009-2010 was a pretty bad winter here. Only a Trace for all for March and 13" in Feb. We're already punting first 2 weeks of January.

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=202012291718-KBUF-NOUS41-PNSBUF

Agreed but anything beyond 10-14 days is highly inaccurate. GEFS at very end of run still showing above normal, but more manageable. No LES for 2-3 weeks. Really only thing I care about.

Great pattern

Airmass blows. +4-8 departures first 2 weeks of January. Average temps start to increase 3rd week of January.

Euro weeklies

Western NY had 2 synoptic events of 4-8" and 1 big LES event, that's it for the year. When was the last good clipper pattern? 2013/2014?

Looks good for you Josh. I don't think we see any flakes here for at least 2+ weeks. I also don't see enough cold air in long range for possibly longer than that. At least Lake Erie will stay warm.

An intense band of lake effect snow dropped over a foot of snow to central NY overnight. Forecast was for 4-7".

I knew that band looked good last night. Had to be some 3"+ per hour rates in there and it wasn't really moving much. Congrats Central NY Guys, lake effect is the best!

I don't see cold enough air for any substantial LES for at least 2 weeks.

@SouthBuffaloSteve not the best, but was able to export Niziols twitter links to a twitterdownloader and piece them together on Davinci Resolve, came out ok.

That's a pretty nice LES band, what's going on over there? Looks to be over Parish and Oswego?

Bills going to the superbowl.

Agreed, but it will mostly be under control and life "should" be back to somewhat normalcy.

From NE Forum: Weeklies gone wild from mid-January onward....PAC gets better and NAO blocking looks more classic. Let’s hope it is right. EPO never gets great on weeklies but it doesn’t have to if the NAO/AO ends up like it depicts. It goes into a bit more of a neutral state and the PNA ridging pops a little more. It’s not a cold pattern up here but it is a good one for snow events. Definitely a cold pattern down south though. Weeklies could be wrong though. They don’t have a lot of skill beyond week 3. Still not a good look for lake effect.

A few pictures from the event.

Definitely some graupel in there, we had some this afternoon here too.

The peak of the entire pandemic should occur sometime in late January/early Feb. Then a gradual decline until this thing is hopefully completely gone by end of 2021.

All 3 ENS look pretty decent after first 10 days of January.

Calling for +5 for January for KBUF.

Trash PAC