BuffaloWeather

Cohen sucks, he talks about PV splits every winter leading to epic cold in the east. He is seen as a joke on the NE forum.

Well a lot of it has to do with the west based NAO block instead of central or east based. The blocking is there, but just not in the right spot. That could change 2nd half of January.

Torch City on the GFS, some 50 degree temps with that setup.

This is first time I've seen this indices and still far warmer than average temps. Seems the EPO trumps them all.

Lots of important games this Sunday for playoff seeding. In terms of teams I want to play in the 1st round 1.) Miami 2.) Cleveland 3.) Indy 4.) Baltimore 5.) Tennessee

Any good shows you guys watching? I started Vikings a few weeks ago, already in Season 3 and officially hooked, its fantastic. Also finishing up Blacklist(really good first 2 seasons, has fallen off since, too repetitive) and 2 more episodes of the Pandemic Netflix series (Crazy how that was released right before Covid, basically a blue print into it). Season 2 of Mandolorian was the best Star Wars material I've ever watched, cannot wait for Season 3.

Republicans likely screwed in Georgia if they don't agree to the $2k checks. Going to be an interesting week.

Right around there yep.

Temps have increased 3.2 degrees in winter in Buffalo. I've lived here my entire life and the while snowfall has been around the same snow on the ground has dramatically decreased. You need snow on the ground to snowmobile, not just snow falling from the sky. Over the past 50 years, the average number of days with 6 inches or more in the ground has decreased from 34 days to 19 days. That has the potential to be harmful to winter sports businesses. https://www.wgrz.com/article/weather/forecast/climate/warming-winters-may-lead-to-more-snow-for-western-new-york/71-066a5545-e706-4a0a-b974-f94f4878ee16

Yeah with global warming, everyone down here has Jet Skis, very little snowmobiles now adays until you get much higher elevation. The majority of my group of friends has one and are able to use it from May-October. With snowmobiles you're lucky if you get out 3-4 times a winter.

Even once the pattern does change, this is pretty terrible for our area. Too warm for lake effect, and too far south for the storm track for synoptic. This pattern is probably the worst out there. We want an East based -NAO to allow that pocket off cold air near Alaska to funnel through for our area and provide a slightly -EPO. I got nothing good to say about January.

What's really crazy to me is how the cold air has been in Russia every winter for the last 6 years. The last below normal Dec-Feb was in 2013-2014.

I was in my pool everyday from June-August. Best summer ever

Didn't the polls say 50% of the country would refuse to get the vaccine? I have a friend who is a Physicians Assistant and even he isn't getting it.

Out west looks quite nice. Snowboarding or skiing has very little risk with contracting covid. Especially open door lifts. It's crazy to think just 2 months ago I hiked a bunch of those spots with triple digit snow.

Yep that is correct.

2009-2010 was a really weird winter. Only snowfall was Dec/Jan/Feb, nothing at all any other month https://www.weather.gov/buf/BuffaloSnow

2009-2010 was a pretty bad winter here. Only a Trace for all for March and 13" in Feb. We're already punting first 2 weeks of January.

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=202012291718-KBUF-NOUS41-PNSBUF

Agreed but anything beyond 10-14 days is highly inaccurate. GEFS at very end of run still showing above normal, but more manageable. No LES for 2-3 weeks. Really only thing I care about.

Great pattern

Airmass blows. +4-8 departures first 2 weeks of January. Average temps start to increase 3rd week of January.

Euro weeklies

Western NY had 2 synoptic events of 4-8" and 1 big LES event, that's it for the year. When was the last good clipper pattern? 2013/2014?