Temperatures during the Monday through Thursday period should
generally be in the upper 30s to low 40s for the lower elevations,
and in the low to mid 30s for the higher elevations.
I expect these temps for the first 2 weeks of January. Give or take a few degrees. First 2 weeks will likely be +5-10 from averages.
KBufs average today
High 32.3
Low 20.0
You're right they are not the most accurate until the last day usually. By that time they are pretty decent for 30 day outlooks. At least the temp maps are, precip is pretty inaccurate.
It was pretty accurate for December. It's not accurate until the very end of the month preceding. It looks pretty accurate for January with the long range outlooks.
Yeah I don't see what the rest of the forum is seeing. I must be blind, but no cold air source for nearly entire run of GEFS/EPS. I guess you could get a storm or 2 of very wet snow that is gone within a day or two but I'm not sure most of the forum would be happy with that.
I went to Adirondacks in late February earlier this year and wanted to ice skate on the rivers there. They are usually the first to freeze. I went out there and nearly fell in because the ice was so thin.
Don't worry tug, I got you!
https://backyardsnowstorm.com/store/SnowSpider-Snow-Gun-p111638291
Oh wait, it never gets below 32 degrees around here to even make snow!
It looks quite a few people have the same idea as you, Sold Out!
You would think with a record breaking NAO we would be at least a little chilly. We learned a lot this year, Pacific controls the cold. Which honestly makes a lot of sense. Our source of cold air is Canada, Canadas source of cold air comes from the Pacific with a west to east flow. The Atlantic matters more for Europe then it does for us. Atlantic blocking only really matters for New England/Mid Atlantic snowstorms. That is why -NAO is talked about so much in these forums.