BuffaloWeather

Should be at least 25k but we will take what we can get. It's outside and fits 72k fans

The 3rd/4th storm has more potential than this next one.

The storm around the 3rd on the Para vs regular GFS

Not sure if anyone saw this but HOLY! We know where all the cold air is! https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/12/29/mongolia-air-pressure-record/

Mid month improving

Peak climo, so we should be able to muster up a little lake effect with that setup.

This year is already better than last year with that great event. Give me 1 more of those and this is at least a B+ winter. My winter grades are mainly dependent on how many good LES events we get. Nothing beats those snowfall rates around here and walking around in it. Like wolf said its a drug.

A little hope. The stuff needed for good lake effect still on other side of the globe. But this isn't terrible.

I've heard true detective was really well done, that's on my list. My buddy said Wire is incredible too. So much to watch thanks~!

Sad times when we're talking about 1-2" of slop and then rain afterwards in January.

Definitely going to be quite warm though, that's a lock

West Based NAO. The worst pattern for great lakes. Too warm for lake effect, and storm track to far east for synoptic. We need to get a negative EPO going.

That makes sense. KBUF is right next to the Buffalo Airport. The Buffalo national weather service official building is like 1/4 mile away where they measure, so it makes sense for them to be the spot for measuring.

If KBUF moved 5 miles SE of its location, the yearly average would go up 10-20". Pretty crazy

It's a very marginal +PNA, and combined with a +++EPO it means a raging PAC jet flowing into lower 48. -EPO solves everything.

Definitely a downward trend in 12+ days on KBUFS map. As you pointed out definitely skewed a lot by 1970s https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFsnowdepth

The longer lake erie stays ice free the better chance of a big LES event. However, we need cold air to get good LES. That's been tough to find.

To be fair Jan 15th is pretty much prime climo. So that map would likely yield snow as the precip type. However, 2 weeks of no chance of Lake effect sucks in January.

The 1950s were one of Buffalos snowiest decades, (at least the second half) although it didn't stick around long https://www.weather.gov/buf/BuffaloSnow 1955-1960 were incredible winters here for snowfall to totals.

This is highly flawed my man. Before the 1940s the record keeping was done right on the shoreline, literally on the beach. So of course snowfall depth/totals would be much lower then where they are now at Buffalo International Airport (14 miles inland). I didn't expect you to know this though. You can only use 1943 onward for Buffalo stats. 1943-1944 is the first datapoint you can use https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFsnowdepth The average number of days for the past 76 winter seasons are: 1 inch - 71.2 days 6 inches - 24.6 days 12 inches 8.6 days

Nice cam, added to bookmarks. Vancouver is beautiful.

Cohen sucks, he talks about PV splits every winter leading to epic cold in the east. He is seen as a joke on the NE forum.

Well a lot of it has to do with the west based NAO block instead of central or east based. The blocking is there, but just not in the right spot. That could change 2nd half of January.

Torch City on the GFS, some 50 degree temps with that setup.

This is first time I've seen this indices and still far warmer than average temps. Seems the EPO trumps them all.