BuffaloWeather

Peak climo, so we should be able to muster up a little lake effect with that setup.

This year is already better than last year with that great event. Give me 1 more of those and this is at least a B+ winter. My winter grades are mainly dependent on how many good LES events we get. Nothing beats those snowfall rates around here and walking around in it. Like wolf said its a drug.

A little hope. The stuff needed for good lake effect still on other side of the globe. But this isn't terrible.

I've heard true detective was really well done, that's on my list. My buddy said Wire is incredible too. So much to watch thanks~!

Sad times when we're talking about 1-2" of slop and then rain afterwards in January.

Definitely going to be quite warm though, that's a lock

West Based NAO. The worst pattern for great lakes. Too warm for lake effect, and storm track to far east for synoptic. We need to get a negative EPO going.

That makes sense. KBUF is right next to the Buffalo Airport. The Buffalo national weather service official building is like 1/4 mile away where they measure, so it makes sense for them to be the spot for measuring.

If KBUF moved 5 miles SE of its location, the yearly average would go up 10-20". Pretty crazy

It's a very marginal +PNA, and combined with a +++EPO it means a raging PAC jet flowing into lower 48. -EPO solves everything.

Definitely a downward trend in 12+ days on KBUFS map. As you pointed out definitely skewed a lot by 1970s https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFsnowdepth

The longer lake erie stays ice free the better chance of a big LES event. However, we need cold air to get good LES. That's been tough to find.

To be fair Jan 15th is pretty much prime climo. So that map would likely yield snow as the precip type. However, 2 weeks of no chance of Lake effect sucks in January.

The 1950s were one of Buffalos snowiest decades, (at least the second half) although it didn't stick around long https://www.weather.gov/buf/BuffaloSnow 1955-1960 were incredible winters here for snowfall to totals.

This is highly flawed my man. Before the 1940s the record keeping was done right on the shoreline, literally on the beach. So of course snowfall depth/totals would be much lower then where they are now at Buffalo International Airport (14 miles inland). I didn't expect you to know this though. You can only use 1943 onward for Buffalo stats. 1943-1944 is the first datapoint you can use https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFsnowdepth The average number of days for the past 76 winter seasons are: 1 inch - 71.2 days 6 inches - 24.6 days 12 inches 8.6 days

Nice cam, added to bookmarks. Vancouver is beautiful.

Cohen sucks, he talks about PV splits every winter leading to epic cold in the east. He is seen as a joke on the NE forum.

Well a lot of it has to do with the west based NAO block instead of central or east based. The blocking is there, but just not in the right spot. That could change 2nd half of January.

Torch City on the GFS, some 50 degree temps with that setup.

This is first time I've seen this indices and still far warmer than average temps. Seems the EPO trumps them all.

Lots of important games this Sunday for playoff seeding. In terms of teams I want to play in the 1st round 1.) Miami 2.) Cleveland 3.) Indy 4.) Baltimore 5.) Tennessee

Any good shows you guys watching? I started Vikings a few weeks ago, already in Season 3 and officially hooked, its fantastic. Also finishing up Blacklist(really good first 2 seasons, has fallen off since, too repetitive) and 2 more episodes of the Pandemic Netflix series (Crazy how that was released right before Covid, basically a blue print into it). Season 2 of Mandolorian was the best Star Wars material I've ever watched, cannot wait for Season 3.

Republicans likely screwed in Georgia if they don't agree to the $2k checks. Going to be an interesting week.

Right around there yep.

Temps have increased 3.2 degrees in winter in Buffalo. I've lived here my entire life and the while snowfall has been around the same snow on the ground has dramatically decreased. You need snow on the ground to snowmobile, not just snow falling from the sky. Over the past 50 years, the average number of days with 6 inches or more in the ground has decreased from 34 days to 19 days. That has the potential to be harmful to winter sports businesses. https://www.wgrz.com/article/weather/forecast/climate/warming-winters-may-lead-to-more-snow-for-western-new-york/71-066a5545-e706-4a0a-b974-f94f4878ee16