BuffaloWeather

The abnormally warm conditions north of the border slowly fade and is replaced by a colder regime around mid month on the Euro Weeklies

The CDC estimates the actual number of people infected (including asymptomatic cases) at 90mil through Nov 30th (doesn't include Decembers numbers) That’s almost 30% of the country. This is a relatively new update from the CDC (12/23). More here https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burden.html That would put the fatality rate at .4%. CDC estimate of influenza death rate for most recent year is .057% (22,000 deaths / 38 million estimated cases). So, if the 90mill estimate is accurate, COVID is 7 times deadlier than Influenza

The CDC estimates the actual number of people infected (including asymptomatic cases) at 90mil through Nov 30th (doesn't include Decembers numbers) That’s almost 30% of the country. This is a relatively new update from the CDC (12/23). More here https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burden.html That would put the fatality rate at .4%. CDC estimate of influenza death rate for most recent year is .057% (22,000 deaths / 38 million estimated cases). So, if the 90mill estimate is accurate, COVID is 7 times deadlier than Influenza

Actually not a bad ending to Euro. A large piece of PV breaks off to the Great Lakes.

Literally the worse pattern. Give me 50 and sunny so at least I can run outside.

Happy new year all!

What map is that? It's not single digits here. Is that 700 mb map?

100% agree

Temperatures during the Monday through Thursday period should generally be in the upper 30s to low 40s for the lower elevations, and in the low to mid 30s for the higher elevations. I expect these temps for the first 2 weeks of January. Give or take a few degrees. First 2 weeks will likely be +5-10 from averages. KBufs average today High 32.3 Low 20.0

Hard to get excited when our source of cold air is a super torch. The exact opposite of a La Nina where Canada is usually cold.

You're right they are not the most accurate until the last day usually. By that time they are pretty decent for 30 day outlooks. At least the temp maps are, precip is pretty inaccurate.

It was pretty accurate for December. It's not accurate until the very end of the month preceding. It looks pretty accurate for January with the long range outlooks.

Buffalo finished December at +3.4 temps with 33" of snow. We're currently -2.4" below normal for snow.

Final CFS for January

Yeah I don't see what the rest of the forum is seeing. I must be blind, but no cold air source for nearly entire run of GEFS/EPS. I guess you could get a storm or 2 of very wet snow that is gone within a day or two but I'm not sure most of the forum would be happy with that.

Happy New Year everyone! Maybe 2021 bring us some sense of normalcy and lots of lake effect snow!

weird look, toss

We need that stuff on the other side of the globe to rotate over. It's been stuck there for 4-5 years

I went to Adirondacks in late February earlier this year and wanted to ice skate on the rivers there. They are usually the first to freeze. I went out there and nearly fell in because the ice was so thin.

Get us the cold and the winds will be changing directions

Should be some LES with that, plenty cold enough.

Maybe @DeltaT13 Can put one of these together for you in his lab tug.

Don't worry tug, I got you! https://backyardsnowstorm.com/store/SnowSpider-Snow-Gun-p111638291 Oh wait, it never gets below 32 degrees around here to even make snow! It looks quite a few people have the same idea as you, Sold Out!

January is definitely going to be a below average snowfall month unless the last 2 weeks we get 2-3 feet.

3-6" along immediate Mexico border with high temps near 70 in a few days.