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Everything posted by DCTeacherman

  1. 80/76 feels so wrong for October!
  2. NAMs bring the center near New Orleans.
  3. Wow that was quick! I wonder if Nate makes a run at cat 2. Rapid intensification has been the theme all year.
  4. It's amazing how geographical perspectives are so different. I was just in Austin Texas this weekend and it was 87/75 at 10 in the morning. I went running and I almost melted....yet every Uber I got into the first thing they said was how "nice" it was out. I guess when you're used to 100/75 maybe it does feel nice.
  5. And 70,000 people are still without power from Irma. I think it's game over for their power grid for a while.
  6. Euro has some pretty good 850 mb winds over NYC area at 72 hours.
  7. Tucked right in against LI, NHC not buying it I guess, their wed-thur positions are well SE of the euro and U.K.
  8. Cmon though you're telling me you wouldn't enjoy that? That would probably be low end sustained TS with high end TS gusts area wide.
  9. The GEFS locked on to an east coast landfall before the EPS with Irma if I recall correctly...so maybe the GEFS can lead us to the promised land with this threat.
  10. 6z GFS is a Chesapeake bay crusher. An@Eskimo Joe track.
  11. NBC just had a live feed from Florida city and the winds were very impressive to say the least, certainly looked like legit hurricane conditions, the NE part of this storm appears to be efficiently mixing down the winds.
  12. Irma is looking better to me on the rainbow infrared, colder cloud tops expanding around the core. I'm thinking that's not a good sign for the keys since they eye is barely off the coast.
  13. UK did pretty well with Irma. Had the southern/western track for a while.
  14. CNN has a live report in Cuba right near the center of the storm for those interested. They've been going back and forth to it.
  15. Florida might really luck out...been getting roughed up by Cuba for a while now and the euro has that continuing all day today.
  16. Irma refusing to turn north, almost looks like a little southward jog.
  17. Yeah, also I imagine that even though the core didn't pass over Cuba that it is interacting some way with it, Cuba has some 1000-2000 meters mountains on the eastern part of the Island.
  18. Hopefully this weakening isn't just an ERC that's going to blow up again as it approaches Florida...
  19. Holy moly I just checked in on Jose and NHC has it going right near some of those islands that got pulverized by Irma like Barbuda. Imagine 2 major hurricane landfalls within a week?!?!?
  20. Yeah I'm not totally given up but the models seem pretty stubborn about the NW movement after landfall in the GA/SC/NC area. Of course it's still 100+ hours so if the next day or two doesn't bring any changes it'll be pretty much dead.
  21. Starting to lose hope in any type of mid atlantic fun with this one...but it's still going to be a doozy tracking the potential landfalls in the SE.
  22. Wow, the Euro is a really bad scenario for Miami. 15-20 ft of surge I'm guessing and probably 150+ mph winds.
  23. cranky likes a Matthew esque east turn