Totally unrelated to the current drama but I did a marathon yesterday. As some of you know I lost my wife last summer and now I’m a single parent of two small kids. Running has been the thing that keeps me sane. There were no real races to do so I just did my own marathon at east Potomac park. I did it totally unsupported and used my car as the aid station. I’ve never done a race before but this was really fun! I want to do a real one now!
Not sure if this will end up being meaningful in any way but neither NAM or HRRR appears to have initialized with that band of precip in Tennessee.
Edit: newest HRRR has it but it looks much weaker than it does in real life.
No question. Pathetic event for the most part pathetically modeled by the globals. Waste of time hahaha but oh well I got to look at some pretty digital snow.
It really has felt like a the models have been gaslighting us more than usual this year. As of like 36 hours the GEFS was trending better every run and had pink down into the metro areas.
Same for me. I had like a minute of heavy snow now it's back to intermittent parachutes. Oh well. Back edge racing up at least I got to see some fatties before this wraps up. Even though I don't love sleet still a winter event that is better than 35 and white rain.
So what are we thinking? An hour or two more of the heavy stuff? NAM 3k has the heavy stuff outta here 11am-12am and the HRRR maybe an hour after that.
BTW is it nice for you to be out of urban heat island hell? I remember all your obs from past events basically 40 degrees and sad hahaha. Do you take some trips up to Canaan at all?
If the NAM is right though we ride that line, keep the heavies going until the flip and then it's basically zip outta here quick anyway. But yeah, like you said, really close on those soundings.