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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. DFW did hit 90*F, not just near. What's crazy though is that isn't even a record high (which is currently 95*F).
  2. The UP and far Northern Lower Michigan were shut out from both GHD storms...
  3. Looks to be about the same as the 12z run.
  4. This would be one of the worst ice storms ever for Detroit if the 00z models are right. Definitely a bit more concerning now given that we're less than 24 hours from the onset of precip. That said, several things could still happen to make for a better outcome. 1. More snow/sleet at the onset (with a slower transition). 2. Less total QPF (00z models were at least drier than prior runs). 3. Surface temps are being underestimated by models.
  5. Yeah, if I were a betting man, Sleet will end up being the predominate frozen/freezing precip type for most in the transition zone.
  6. "In short, it’s because the astronomical seasons are based on the position of Earth in relation to the sun, whereas the meteorological seasons are based on the annual temperature cycle." Source: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/meteorological-versus-astronomical-seasons
  7. It's funny that @hardypalmguy has been fairly quiet since these back-to-back Winter Storms started slamming him...
  8. Precip rates and how cold the rain droplets are can be important factors as well. If the precip rates are heavy, with marginal temps, much of it will just run off and not accumulate. Just as well, if the rain droplets aren't supercooled, they will struggle to accumulate with below frerzing temps as well.
  9. You say that now. But once you've had to suffer through 12 straight hours of non-stop pinging like some of us, you'll be singing a different tune...
  10. And the lesson learned is that a convective watch issued by a woman can bust just as badly as one issued by a man...
  11. Welp, it was certainly a bust for DFW. Most areas didn't even see precipitation...
  12. There was also the severe weather outbreak with the Dexter tornado and how the vast majority of the trees were fully leafed out.
  13. A hatched hail area has been added to the day 2 outlook for DFW. Otherwise the probs are 15% Hail / 15% wind / 5% tornado. Surprising enough, getting a bit of an appetizer right now with quite a bit of lightning.
  14. I gotta say, knowing that @michsnowfreakis fairly passive when it comes to trolling, it's funny that it took @hardypalmguy of all people to get him on a roll... *doing my best impersonation of Eddie Murphy's laugh*
  15. Don't be so sure for the Michigan, Ohio and Indiana folks (lake effect clouds)...
  16. Also, I can't help but laugh at the Winter Storm Warning for 3-6". In normal times, that would be a mere advisory for IA/WI...
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