It's going to fun to focus on small Mesoscale features that we just won't know until an hour or two prior. I'm beginning to see some ratio output suggesting 23:1 and a few approaching 25:1. Wherever a band sets up near the UL could drop a foot to 16 inches. We'll see.
Surprised to see my point and click suggesting 4 to 8 inches possibly higher. The wind doesn't look like much of an issue until Saturday night. It's also interesting seeing another chance of snow Wednesday afternoon into Thursday in that point and click forecast as well.
Just got back from Asheville. Heavy brine being laid on I-40 in Haywood County. I'm not sure how much good it will do with the very cold temperatures we're expecting as the snow falls tomorrow afternoon into Saturday. The Ice Extravaganza in Maggie Valley has been canceled for Saturday.
17 at the house this morning. So we are going to do this thing? It's been 4 years since more than 5 inches has fallen from one event in my yard. I believe we're going to see some dynamics that the models can't sniff out until a couple of hour out!
GSP mentioned they were considering hoisting a Watch this afternoon, but opted to hold off until the overnight guidance came in. Seems to be a Storm totals concern more than the need a Watch/Warning issue.
Well, it certainly appears we will not be dealing with that old pesky warm nose this time! That said, I expect the discussion to ramp up with the WPC/NWS with the possibility of a Watch hoisted by tomorrow afternoon.
Big weekend event in Maggie Valley with our IceFest. Skiers should be piling into town as Cataloochee increased their base by 25 inches since Sunday morning!
I would expect ratios to be much higher than 10:1 if this plays out as cold as the guidance suggests. That closed off upper low looks to be brutal for the Mountains.
Crazy! It's totally calm in Maggie and very thick fog has settled in. I'm sitting at 46 and the only sound I hear is Jonathan Creek rushing through town. I ended up with 1.73 inches in the gage for this event.
Hey Gang. I really appreciate all of you and it was great to see so many folks that don't normally hangout in our Mountain threads year round. Thanks for letting an old man that has loved all things weather since a little boy participate and pass along a little bit of what I've learned and occasionally share some information from longtime friends in the weather business.
So paying $20 a month for the privilege to look at it. Thank you for letting us know. My days of paying anything for my weather passed when I started living on a fixed income, but that's just me.
My grandma told many decades ago..."believe nothing you hear and half what you see". But that was 60 years ago before AI was even dreamed of. She was born in 1900.
The back edge of the precipitation is here. Skies are brightening to the West of the house. Very thankful that we escaped the worst of it here in the Valley! It looks like I have a little over an inch and a half in the gage.