Maggie Valley Steve

I believe that may be a possibility. As crazy as it sounds, there are currently 'lake effect snow' across Texas streaming off the Lakes of Central and East Texas currently. While that is not related to the Upper-level snow we may get, it does offer a clue to just how potent this very cold airmass truly is.

Still snowing in Maggie.

Not local, but Austin TX has light snow at this time. Totally not expected there. It gives us an idea of the magnitude of the airmass with the PV lobe dropping down.

Back to moderate snow after a 30 minute period of light snow. Really no wind, so it's laying down quickly. Very picturesque!

Awesome Man!

Moderate snow and a 1/4 mile visibility. Driveway caved. Nearing an inch.

Good snowy morning! 30 and snow at the house. Ground is covered and even started laying on the driveway.

I suspect if the 00Z and 6Z short range guidance increases the amount of deformation banding and heavier as well as a bit longer duration upslope episode, we'll see Winter Storm Watches hoisted for the Mountain Counties tomorrow morning. Now if those thunderstorms along the Gulf Coast end up not coming to fruition as the guidance suggests, we could see higher totals Wednesday with over running snow. We will see.

I believe a general 2 to 4 inches is possible even here in the higher Valleys. To me, the big question is the following upslope snow development as the surface low pressure passes by and the potent upper low slides in Wednesday night into Thursday.

21 here. Clear sky and no snow.

It's been spitting snow off and on most of the afternoon. No accumulation though.

I went from 52 at 9:30 to 43 now. I've had several gusts above 40mph since the front passed through.

Not bad at all. Arctic High in Eastern Montana/Dakota's is stronger at 1055ish and we stay all snow throughout the duration including SWNC.

GSP mentioned several things this morning that caught my eye. The Miller A is showing things on the models that is not typical. Freezing rain/sleet is very uncommon for a Miller A. The Forecaster stated the the dividing line appears to the NC/SC border, bit not real comfortable with an exact solution. GFS was what snow while the Euro was all snow. Also mentioned was snow in the Mountains and another snow chance next Saturday for the Mountains. The grids have increased snow chances beginning Tuesday night into Wednesday before tapering off Wednesday night. The guidance likely will continue to struggle the next 24 to 36 hours with their final solutions.

Going to take some time to saturate down with the dry air behind the front tomorrow morning. Hoping for an earlier start overnight Tuesday with snow actually making it to the ground early Wednesday morning.

Kids. I was in my Junior year at Mars Hill in 1979

Nice hit on the Euro. Has my house in the 8 inch + range 5 days out.

The wind today is howling through the Valley. Looking like we may see some gusts exceeding 45 to 50 MPH overnight into tomorrow morning.

Yeah, the grinds have us snowing from overnight Tuesday into Thursdays night. Still a lot of room for changes. And it looks bitter cold later next week as well.

Still 5 days out, but the initial WPC discussion is out. Expect fine tuning for the next several days.

Please pin this thread!

My low was 24. Snow guns have blowing all night at Cataloochee. Looks like it's going to snow after some rain Sunday afternoon and evening. More wintry weather Tuesday afternoon into Thurday as well!

The afternoon update from the Climate Prediction Center is impressive.

My point and click forecast has a low of 21 in the morning. Saturday morning has a chance of freezing rain around daybreak and then heavy rain with thunderstorms. Sunday afternoon has a snow chance and snow for Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday. Time to start paying a little closer attention to next week!

I ended up with 3.67 inches of rain for the event. Jonathan Creek is running well above normal.