Violentweatherfan

My thinking is could this be the reason the models are playing catch up

What are your thoughts regarding the possibility of cutbacks (lack of funding) to NOAA/NWS impacting model data early on and then getting better sampling later. Therefore odd model solutions

On the video I posted there is mention that the precipitation field should be more expansive. Yeah there will be sharp gradients but the field should be further west

This is great discussion, but the info from late last night’s runs aren’t included

I watched a weather video last night and the synopsis was that the low isn’t wrapping up or phasing with the sub tropical jet therefore it’s as it is being pulled east

It’s not our storm folks

Hey, just asking what if we get a couple of feet of snow out of this? Where are we gonna put it?

I just moved to Jamison PA in 2024 and according to Wunderground several places went below zero it’s last year.

Oh come on, the both of you aren’t fooling anyone.

Anyone needs a break in between the models these guys are pretty good.

You want zero interaction and or have the kicker late or non existent

From past experiences once there is a kicker its pretty much game over

That’s the kicker

Hey @Roger Smithis there an up stream kicker forcing it OTS?

It all depends on how much the surface low deepens off the coast. Anything sub 990 it’ll tuck and hug the coast. All of these sub 990/980 SLP going out to sea are hogwash. My concern is how strong the HP west of it is, along with the HP in Quebec might be nudging it OTS