Bob Chill

Yea, it's crunch time. Hemispheric pattern is exactly what we talk about ad nauseam every winter while the pattern typically sucks. It's a nina and I get that but it's also absolute prime climo for a big coastal. I'm at like 12 or 13" on the year. If we got a couple 6" storms I would hit climo. But it would not be a memorable winter at all. Better than I was thinking back in Nov. Still run of the mill blah overall tho

So far this year, northern tier folks should leave all the worrying to those that normally have to worry. PSU worried himself into half his climo totals in less than 10 days. Doesnt really compute in hindsight

Yea, I get rattled posting anything a few days down the road with the split period threads. I keep posting lr stuff in the mr thread. Of course this problem is a sign that A LOT of stuff is going on. A mid range thread having lots of posts day after day is NOT how we roll in the MA lol

Your yard is in a better spot than mine later this week so far. Latitude with W-E oriented overunning matters. I'll remain skeptical of the 12z euro verbatim but all 3 globals only have minor differences with the large scale features that make or break our yards. I'm very intrigued with this. Moreso than last weekend's hybrid coastal. You guys have heard me say many times over the years but we really do suck at complicated. This potential is actually fairly uncomplicated. Rug pull needs to happen within 24 hours or it's not getting pulled imo. Ptype on the other hand... those worries will be front and center up until game time unless the boundary clearly parks just south of us. Be careful expecting a big pretty clean powdery event. For our yards that's prob the least likely outcome but not impossible

I'm having a hard time remembering a similar setup. The 13-15 stretch had some mini versions but sw-ne trajectory and ripping flow. I can't remember any drawn out events with blocking, no sig slp, and mostly W-E trajectory at our latitude. This could be a flag honestly because it might be uncommon unless I'm just old and forgetful. That said, on paper it looks very ominous and it's square in the midrange rn. My guess is the euro prob just captured top end for snowfall and % of snowfall. It's hard not to think that this will be quite impactful overhead or nearby. All snow is pretty sketchy for my yard. My gut says 50% snow is ambitious. My weenie says look tf out, apocalyptic event inbound. My weenie is really dumb though. Kind of has a mind of its own but I hear that's normal.

Some will be worrying about suppression by tomorrow or even 0z tonight. That's a lock.

Busts? I've hit my guesses in my yard back to back. I wish I busted just like everybody wishes you would blue screen of death tf out of here. I think you should stay because it's fun watching you melt trying to pretend to be something nobody on earth or jupiter believes you are. The more you post the less you can subvert the truth. I'm enjoying it. Keep going. Please.

Gfs run was pretty encouraging with both the progression and surface winds/temps. We havent had the gfs on our side with tightrope setups in the midrange. Gfs is the warmest global as usual but it isnt really warm and the verbatim solution is still very wintry. Crap. I need to figure out how to avoid this place for at least Mon-Tues.... hmmm.... guess I'll strive for a temporary ban... just saw phin post in banter. Brb and see ya after the ban

Hot damn. We need the mid level wiggle room. Go europe!

Narrow minded offensive dirt bags (and this is an uber nice way to put it) don't get free passes anywhere I visit. Sorry for pouring fuel but I won't back down for 1 second here. Dude is trash. Heck, I just insulted a pile of trash with my last sentence,

Stop making a fool of yourself. You're damn good at it. Maybe one of the best. But those skills arent something I wouldnt show off in such grand fashion like you do

Sure thing boss. We all know how "progressive" you are. Go ahead and progress back to where people give af about your values. Might be hard now that parler is down tho.

The second I saw your pic, george thorogood started rockin' "I Drink Alone" in my head

Whatever dude. Enjoy the stone age. My last business has 30 remote female agents and I didnt even know what half of them looked like. But yea, all about grabbing the you know...

Lol. You nailed a wild pitch and made it look like a slow lob. The day you break character is the day I start worrying. I'm never going to worry am I?

I've literally hired, fired, and promoted well over 300 people in businesses that I've owned or managed the last 30 years. Just speaking from a lot of experience. You do you and I'll do me.

100% agree. This is also why the world is fast moving towards female politicians and CEOs. It shouldnt have taken this long but it is what it is.

It's def part of it. The deeper/bigger the cold dome the more lift isentropic upglide/lifting. In this case it's not a front line battle like it could be if the arctic boundary divded the warm/moist flow. That's way up north in NY this go around. Ingredients are still certainly there but mixy messy instead of deep deep winter.

We all suck when we get sucked in here. It's a rite of passage. I got railed solid in 05/06 and looking back at my posting style I should have gotten railed harder. Not everybody needs to dig deep into the science to be a consistent positive contributor. Don't short change yourself. Seriously. There are basicslly only 4 kinds of posters here imo. 1)Those that strive to learn, participate, and add value on a regular basis. 2)Those that are here for therapy at the expense of people's eyeballs on a regular basis. 3)Those that are here for fun/jokes/obs only and/or join in only when fun is happening (ie smart people). 4)And those that simply want to throw wet blankets, let air out of the room, and go out of their way to try and make others feel as miserable as themselves. That's really it. Of course there's straight up trolls but they exist everywhere. Nothing special there. Imo- you and cobalt are squarely #1s

[Mar 2018 enters the chatroom from my yard]

I've been meaning to say this since last year but my keyboard keeps puking other things. You and @Cobalt have become pretty fantastic and welcome young posters imho. You guys are the future of this forum as myself and other long timers trend towards forum history. Keep it up. It's refreshing and I personally really appreciate it.

Truth. Nailbiters and living on the edge is our predefined specialty in the mid range. The overrunning stripe is quite narrow in all guidance and it's a club sandwich of ptype south to north. Staying all snow requires someone to be on the tiny slice of the already narrow slice thru the duration. Tall order as the stripe will wobble up and down as slp influences flow. CMC is different but still shows the W-E aligned boundary like the other globals. That orientation is very encouraging. If it morphs to sw-ne it will quickly take the wind out of our sails and the ice out of our yards. Fun week on tap!

Lets not derail this thread but you cant help but to look at midrange guidance and think we may be in for one of the more impactful mixed events in years. Many years... Someone is getting it. Maybe it's us. I'm very interested

Considering the 0z euro solution and seeing the 12z gfs version... it does look pretty ominous for a significant event. Little ice storms are more boring than watching a cross country ski race. Potential crushing ice storms with a side order of glacier on the heels will suck me in every time

I should delete my post now lol. I'm 100% rooting for bands to park on you for hours. My brain has moved on to an amazing QB matchup tonight and a foot of ice later this week