Layman

3.5ish? Makes for a pretty morning out there. Should be an easy cleanup.

How long until this term shows up in an AFD? This is one of those things that morphs over time and gets so far away from the original source, but is used regularly enough that everyone understands what it means. Years from now people will be studying the genesis of the "Kraft" weather phenomenon. I can see the dictionary entry now: Used in a sentence: "Eight hours into heavy snowfall I began anticipating the Kraft by disrobing and performing snow angels in my front lawn."

Awesome pic! Why does the rain look like it's falling as fluffy white stuff?

FYI @40/70 Benchmark, I blame you for this.

I enjoy your posts and appreciate your meteorological evolution but don't understand the Papal praise. Might I suggest you take the age-old "trust but verify" approach and whenever you see a Vatican-based observation posted simply click on this link to see how accurate it is: https://www.meteoblue.com/en/weather/webcams/dover_united-states_5085520 I have the benefit of looking out my window to see if what's stated is true. For example, the other morning an obs was posted saying "Coating, flurries now". We actually had 1/2" to 3/4" of snow on the ground and light snow falling that lasted for hours, eventually giving us about an inch and half total. Not crazy, but also not accurate. For whatever reason, underplaying reality is a fetish for some posters here. More power to them if that's what makes them happy. If you're like me and prefer to live in the real world and value accurate info, take a moment to see if what people are saying is true or not. BTW, I hope you get crushed with a SEMA/Cape Cod blizzard before this winter is through.

46.6 here. I'm pleased. Got to get chains on one of the tractors and replaced the valve cover. Great weather for it and just in time for a 1-3 incher coming in that I may or may not have to clear

I understand the sentiment about the models but I think it really comes down to the fact that these are imperfect human-created systems trying to extrapolate an incredibly dynamic atmospheric manifold (thanks Tip!) to predict what may happen at a specific place, at a specific time that we individually may or may not want to happen. The weather will ultimately be whatever it's going to be at that place and moment in time regardless of what we want, think, wish-for or feel. My personal knee-jerk reaction has been similar with regard to the models where I think "these things can't get it right!" However, when I consider what they're trying to do and how accurate they may or may not be, I realize it's an incredibly tall task and it's amazing that we can get as close as we do. Imagine if someone was really good at counting cards in a deck playing Blackjack. One hand has a single deck. Next hand, 10 cards are added. Next hand 2 cards are taken away and a 2nd deck is added. And on and on. Comparing to weather, it would seem that there are more cards in the deck further out and they're taken away as we get closer to the event - to the point where the card counter is doing pretty good considering what's gone on and what's left in the deck. I can envision the emotional investment being similar between the gambler and the weather aficionado! If nothing else, I find it interesting, engaging and often humorous if you don't have a dog in the fight one way or another.

Hoping to hit 50 here but not sure it's happening. 41.2 in the sun at the moment.

Interesting. The SDS shows it's 91%-96% sodium chloride so I think their "reduced corrosion" claims are a little inflated. It looks like their inhibitor is the 0.02% addition of sodium gluconate. Not sure that's enough to move the needle. Maybe internal testing showed it helped... Too bad because the salt and corrosion negatively affects so much in our area. https://www.cargill.com/doc/1432076001002/clearlane-sds.pdf

Alternatively, one may enjoy witnessing the emotional carnage on a routine basis, regardless of what the weather may bring.

@40/70 Benchmark Does this qualify?

There may be two of us in the minority on this however, I do like this song and really enjoy Rick Beato's breakdown of it. If you're unfamiliar with his channel and enjoy music, it's definitely worth checking out:

Understood. May I offer: Yea though he walks in the shadows of Death Valley, may he predict more heat, for the heat is with him. Amen.

You can see the 34 temp at the station location in the upper left corner showing just how close it is to this building:

These Popestradamus forecasts interest me because they're basically in my backyard. Is this a case of cherry-picking a station to get the needed temps? This station is running around 3 degrees warmer than everything else around it. https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNHPORTS24 I can't help but think it's being influenced by the Service Credit Union corporate office that sits right across the street. It's literally a wall of glass facing that station.

Low of 11.7 this morning in my neck of the woods - not too incredibly far from you.

It may have already come and gone. These things always come in earlier than expected.

“Meteorological pupa” ”Broomable fluffer” I learn new things in here everyday!

BG's Boathouse Restaurant in Newcastle NH Warren's Restaurant Kittery ME The Cliff Walk across from York Harbor Inn - the sea was angry here

Those that were saying flooding was going to be a problem were definitely correct with this one. Spent yesterday morning out and about and grabbed some pics. Lots of closed roads on the NH seacoast and plenty of flooding. Here's a few noteworthy photos: Prescott Park and Strawberry Banke Portsmouth NH The Gundalow at Prescott Park - the water level on the wall is extraordinarily high. South Mill Pond in Portsmouth NH (Citizens Bank parking lot) Wentworth By The Sea Country Club entrance in Newcastle NH - Access to Newcastle was cut off on both sides of the island

The relentlessest. We’ve added over an inch since 7am for a current total of 1.6”

It’s a tad moist out there this morning. Sitting on an inch (so to speak) of rain since about 3am. Ground absolutely saturated. No significant winds, just a couple of noticeable gusts. Glad this one’s a quick mover but I don’t think we have a chance of drying out before the cold stretch hits. Looks like we’ll have some long term ice patches over the coming week or so. 41.2, just crested 1.01”

I was just out filling the wood racks to ensure I’ve got enough dry wood for the cold coming after this rain and saw this little guy out in the lawn. Don’t think I’ve ever seen this in January before. We also had a couple wasps out today. Granted, neither are as powerful predictors of weather like geese, but it caught my attention.