Winterweatherlover
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Everything posted by Winterweatherlover
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36 and been all rain the whole storm, just started mixing with snow.
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Lol I was under an advisory for 3-5 inches earlier in the day and I’m 40 degrees and raining.
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I guess I have to accept this one is over. Its a tough one to swallow when the potential was really there.
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Hard to get excited 240 hours out but sure it happens why not.
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It’s about 3-6 inches I think on the last run?
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40 here too, long way to go to get toward freezing.
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CMC gives hope? https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2023031100&fh=78&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc= NVM low ends up too far east to really allow the dynamics to take over for NYC.
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In this case I believe the low just east of LI or over Montauk would be ideal for NYC Metro from how i'm interpreting it.
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Its a tough call and I would defer to you as a meterologist but how come then it seems the models that are closer to the coast are snowier closer to NYC while the models further east have less snow?
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Latest rgem ticked slightly colder and now has a tiny bit of snow making it to the northern parts of the city, i'll be excited to wake up to my 0.2 of an inch (sarcasm).
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It's been a while. I wouldn't take the hour 84 NAM too seriously.
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In this case most of us want it to tuck, theres no cold air supply so we are dependent on the storm and the CCB band smashing the area. The more tucked runs seem to actually be snowier. Too far west obviously would be a problem but right now we need a bit of a west shift on the globals.
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Snowman19 would probably disagree with north of Tappan Zee (Rockland county) being the article circle.
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Agree but easier said than done, I’ve wanted to leave the NYC area most of my life but circumstances made it difficult. I agree though complaining about lack of snow in a place not favorable to get snow is not worth it.
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Agree I’m not really sure why it became negative central because of the Ukie. I guess everyone has different ways of forecasting, personally my opinion hasn’t changed much, it will if euro trends bad. it also depends what peoples expectations are, you’re not getting 2 feet in March in NYC no matter what lol but I think a high end up to about 6-12 inches is still possible.
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Could be a real nice week for the I84 corridor if it doesn’t trend east.
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Nice to see more snow out in the ocean than on the coastal plain (sarcasm).
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It really doesn’t seem like the 2nd best model. Idk the statistics but it seems like a lousy model.
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I’ll wait on 12z Euro. If it trends bad I’ll lose interest.
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Ukie way warmer.
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Makes sense with a further east track. It didn’t shift by too much though.
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He seems to think it’s coming east. We’ll see.
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Cmc a little too far east for what we need but probavly better to have it a little east than a little west at this range.
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Cmc seems stuck on 90 but the key would be does it track north or northeast from there,
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Yes east but stronger, still inside the BM zone at 90.
