Winterweatherlover
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Everything posted by Winterweatherlover
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Also the problem isn’t really the low going way east but it’s lack of cold air. I think most models still showing at least an inch qpf in this area.
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Agree not the same at all. This was always more of we need positive changes then we are in good shape storm.
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The HV is sorta getting maybe a last minute shaft they looked good for a while with this. NYC never looked good.
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Seems the lower elevations of the HV may bust badly as well. Story of the winter. You either need elevation or to be Albany and north this winter.
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The euro did so terrible with this storm.
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Swing and a miss twice in a week, March sure kept with the theme since December.
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Imo no way the coast and NYC is 2-4 inches. I think through 7 am Tuesday it’s rain and then probably white rain Tuesday or maybe a mix. I’m not seeing anything to believe temps would be near freezing in or near the city.
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Cmc/RGEM are just disasters not only for NYC but well into there HV. Hope they are wrong.
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Cmc looks east.
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Still not enough for NYC to see anything meaningful.
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They really aren’t if you look at the right ones. the gfs/euro/cmc/RGEM all have basically nothing for NYC.
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Agree it’s starting to look dicey even up there. But what else would be fitting for this winter than a last second bust.
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RGEM is basically all ran I287 and SE. it even looks dicey now for upper Westchester and Rockland not being mostly rain.
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I was thinking this. I hasn’t paid attention to long range but of course now pushed back to the 23rd. Maybe it’ll be pushed back to April next?
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Daytime light snow on Tue above freezing in March. Not optimistic.
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What happened to the se ridge? Doesn’t seem to be helping push this storm west when really want it to.
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This winter hes been basically right everytime for his area and points se of there.
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Thinking maybe it’s time to consider changing the sub forum structure? This is very deflating for those who live near the coast while interior is about to get blasted.
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It’s been warm the whole time. It’s the most reliable model imo.
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I would suggest not looking at models like the NAM and ICON. The RGEM has been consistent with a non event for NYC. That’s why I’m not that surprised/disappointed.
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At this point it’s not only possible but more likely than not cpk hits futility record.
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It seemed low unless we got absolute perfection which is rare.
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I hate living here so much so tired of the easterly winds ruining everything, I feel it’s the same story almost every storm.
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The ceiling was always pretty low imo se of 287. Does NYC get anything?
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On the bright side if it’s really gonna be 50s-60s late next week this would have been gone quickly anyway so we aren’t missing much.
