Winterweatherlover
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Everything posted by Winterweatherlover
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That's not true, most globals had at least some mixing into NYC since like at least Thursday. The only models that was truly late to the party were the GFS and Ukie but those models are garbage. The CMC/Euro def had many runs of mixing.
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Ehh the NAM was not that good with this storm, as another poster mentioned the whole storm as often happens progressed quicker but the NAM had much less snow before the sleet than what actually happened.
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Flipped back to mostly snow here in southern Yonkers.
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Not that the NAM is right about anything with this storm but even if it has the snow/sleet line backing down SE again at least temporarily around 7:00 pm.
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Sleet/Snow mix
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I'm guessing the bright band is the mix line?
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Yep pingling now in Yonkers.
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First time i've heard a little pingling today but still mostly snow.
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White Plains may see 20 if they don't mix.
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2 feet storms are so rare, yea I guess this had some potential if all went perfectly but it always has to go perfectly for 2 feet.
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Depends for who and where, much of the area is getting 12+ which I'd consider a monster.
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Pouring snow now, probably means the mix is near but enjoying it.
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Coming in from the SW as expected, well see how far the initial push makes it and then I would expect it to recede a bit as the coastal takes over.
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I guess I jinxed it when I said no one in the 5 boroughs is reporting sleet
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3 no but i can definitely see 2 plus in parts of the HV and interior CT.
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If precip is heavy it will probably flip a bit back and forth between snow and sleet.
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Not hearing any reports of any snow yet anywhere in the five boroughs so that's a good sign.
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I'd expect a sleet/snow mix later it'll slow down accumulations but may likely won't halt them entirely.
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Wow if the newest models are right you may not change over at all.
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Euro is not a great short range but another model that seems to barely have a changeover north of I80/Cross Bronx Expwy.
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Yea I'd expect mainly snow until around 2-3 in the north Bronx area then mix with sleet and go back and forth the rest of the night, maybe ending as snow. Probably a foot by the time of changeover and then maybe an additional 1-3 inches of snow/sleet or so.
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Depends where, south of NYC yes probably, NYC and especially north of NYC it will probably be very much a slow/back and forth type of changeover.
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Yea again I'm saying near the coast it seems a very rare phenomenon to get both sustained sleet and temps below 20, usually either the upper levels aren't as warm as modeled or the surface warms more, always some exceptions. Inland is a different story.
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Holding steady at 13 here.
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Yea inland it happens a lot, when I lived in the HV i remember blasting sleet at 19 degrees, I just don't remember it happening often near the coast because rarely do you get that dramatic upper level vs surface divide near the ocean.
