Winterweatherlover
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Everything posted by Winterweatherlover
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It didn't come.
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February 2026 OBS & Discussion
Winterweatherlover replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
I can live with cold and dry with snowpack, if we had no snowpack I'd hate this pattern. -
Probably not for most but far eastern LI/Twin Forks could get a late surprise, wouldn't take much.
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The crazy thing is this still isn't that far off yet seems so far given how steady the models have been.
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How is it over when Euro brings a few inches to eastern LI and CMC is close? It's not going to be a blizzard but a few inches is still on the table for parts of the subforum.
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Agree and that would feel way worse lol
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Good analogy, it's pretty much been like being down 10-3 the whole time but with the jets offense you just know the game is probably over even though it's close.
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CMC at least looked more consolidated but still OTS. I still wouldn't be shocked if this trended enough to give eastern regions of the subform a glancing blow but the big storm idea is pretty off the table I think.
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It looks like 3 lows.
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The really high end potential storms often fail more than they hit although we remember the hits. This ones like close enough to keep one interested but consistently swinging right so many runs in a row where it feels a forum wide hit is not likely.
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I've hated this storm all week, I don't like the look and the tight precip shield events. We may still luck out but this is not fun to track IMO because I knew the models would have big problems with this storm lol. Now we in the home stage though.
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Agree I'd be fine with few inches to whiten the pack even if it's not another major storm. A total miss would be kind of be disappointing.
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Depends for where. For eastern LI probably, for the rest of the subforum maybe maybe not.
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It's way too early to say dead and I'm even half on the fence if I'm rooting for this storm lol.
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I'm amazed in 2010 we didnt get any back to backs but I guess not. The MA region I believe did as there were the back to back storms that hit them to our south.
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Given the amount of snow on the ground I think I might even prefer a moderate snowstorm to whiten the snow vs a blizzard. While a blizzard on top of what we have would give historic amounts on the ground it would also be totally exhausting.
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I said a few days ago I hate tracking these big storms in Atlantic because the models will almost definitely lose the storm or show it way OTS at some point. Sometimes they come back, sometimes they don't but this isn't like last week where we basically knew consistently we'd get at least some decent snow for days. Of course when these type of storms do hit they are our are biggest bombs but they miss about half as often as they hit.
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So you think the low will track due north or almost due north?
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Yep different from the last storm, this one feels more all or nothing. The precip shield actually isn't that small on the current models but I could see it being even tighter as we get closer to the event.
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This feels like maybe a NYC western fringe storm while LI and ENE get bombed, we've it so much over the past 5-10 years but hopefully it trends west.
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35-40 inches in southern VA and Delaware
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Neither of those tracks would be good for our area staying snow
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0Z CMC east of 12z, still close.
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Amazing how the timing of this storm matches the timing of the storm this past weekend almost to a tee.
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I wouldn't say every big storm has trended that way.
