Winterweatherlover
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Everything posted by Winterweatherlover
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35-40 inches in southern VA and Delaware
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Neither of those tracks would be good for our area staying snow
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0Z CMC east of 12z, still close.
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Amazing how the timing of this storm matches the timing of the storm this past weekend almost to a tee.
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I wouldn't say every big storm has trended that way.
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Just like with yesterday with the amount of cold air in place I'd rather take that chance than have it whiff to the east and everyone gets nothing. Although with snowpack on the ground a big rainstorm would be disastorous.
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This feels more like a LI/Eastern NE special but last weeks storm I thought would be suppressed to our south so what do I know.
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Too tired from tracking the last one for this lol. These type of storms also drive me nuts to track because they usually disappear at some point on the models. It obviously has massive potential.
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For Long Island it's a hit. The rest of the subforum not yet but close.
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Todays storm was suppressed south at this point last week, this one is east not south which always has more question marks to me but def could end up a big hit.
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They barely went under on Kalshi! It was I believe 11.6, wow that was tighter that I expected.
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Almost always happens when the storm comes in aggressive and heavy that the surface never warms up the way it's modeled to.
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Back to light snow here I think? Although cant tell the flakes are so tiny it may be sleet or snow.
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Seems like maybe light freezing rain now on the south shore of LI?
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RGEM did well and was one reason I felt hopeful because it's usually a warm biased model.
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Seems accumulations have been as high or higher in Central Westchester/Rockland than places like I84, surprising but shows how random these things are with banding/snow growth.
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Mixing in is different from so warm at all levels that it's definitely sleet, the warmth has been marginal all day. Also the NAM had mixing on several runs to near I84 which didn't seem to come close.
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Yea seems all of LI even Mountauk still below freezing.
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Yep just how my gut said it wouldn't stay hours of sleet with temps in the teens and it would be more of a mix of snow/sleet. Usually if something is rare it doesn't happen, occasionally it does.
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Probably good if it ends soon especially for parts of the city and LI to avoid ZR.
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You can see how the mix line has been basically over the northern part of NYC for the past 7 hours.
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Definitely overperformed expectations, really only was pure sleet for about an hour here, the rest has a mix of snow/sleet since the changeover.
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JFK won't go above freezing, if anywhere in the city does maybe the rockaways but doubtful anyone goes above freezing west of Nassau county.
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Mixing with snow again here as well.
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Especially with upcoming temps and possible future snow threats.
