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AtlanticWx

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Everything posted by AtlanticWx

  1. i get your point but any weeklies map i've seen always looks like the climo average for the time period without fail. it makes sense, run 100 simulations of the same pattern and you'll end up with a climo average with tweaks in either direction based off the favorability of the pattern
  2. i think we're in it for a while. on weeklies, the MJO doesn't even reach the indian ocean till march. and IO forcing becomes more favorable for us later in the winter (esp in early march). i really think once we see the onset of this pattern it's probably not going away for possibly the rest of winter here
  3. 12/11: 2" 1/14: 0.3" 1/15 - 1/16: 5.6" 1/19: 7.1" Total: 15.0"
  4. my bad, i only saw his comment about march snow. and i agree, climo falls off a cliff in early march for any big storms
  5. we get march snow quite often. march 16 2022 dropped 4-6" across the NW metro thru an anafrontal and i know we got like 2" in march 2019
  6. i think the look for jan 30 is pretty nice for a minor event here maybe, but mostly a new england setup tbh. the preceding airmass is so frigid though so i don't think this overextension will be as bad as the last where we went from an already warm airmass to even more warm this winter is shaping up to be great imo
  7. imo our next window is feb 15-march 15 based off weeklies & adjusting it for the probable fact that it gets can kicked a bit though.
  8. widespread 10-12" for the entire week across moco & hoco. what a run lmfao i did not expect this — i guess that's what ample cold and blocking does
  9. 7.5" here! I had the same totals as my friends in Gaithersburg & Clarksburg before hand, but we really lucked out with the squalls here. Picked up like 1.5" with the squalls, we really lucked out here lmfao
  10. 6.9" here! was around the same as most in moco prior to the squalls but i really got lucky with them. might push 7" or even 7.5" with the last squall heading towards me
  11. 0.5" after the squall in 30 minutes, and i wasn't even the brunt of it! 1-2" per hour rates in that fs
  12. 6.1" here in Germantown with moderate snow from the squalls
  13. i got 2.4" in jan 3 2022 and 5.5" in jan 7 2022. haven't had a 6"+ event in a while so
  14. 5.1" now with 0.6-0.8" per hour rates right now. it's rippinggg
  15. really coming down in gtown again
  16. 4.5" of snow in Germantown. 0.3" of snow in the past 30 minutes
  17. 4" in germantown! 3.95" to be exact
  18. i think this is also bc it came in faster but modeled, but yeah this WAA thump was sm heftier than predicted lmao. never was predicted to come close to 1.25" per hour rates
  19. it's awesome here! 3.6" of snow and 0.55" of new snow in the past 30 min)
  20. HRRR has a lot of moco pushing 6" including the 2-3" that's already fallen! personally i haven't gotten a 6"+ event since 2019 so this would be awesome
  21. additional snow without the squalls ^ would subtract the additional snow from this map though because we've already seen this snow fall: 3" on top of the snow that has already fallen would be crazy tbh
  22. HRRR still has 1-4" of additional snow for most of us. will post the map in a second
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