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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
    Well, it's up to the Euro now. A day or two ago it was the GFS against the world. Will it now be the Euro against the world? If the Euro caves, it may be time to move on to the next threat.
  2. 78Blizzard
    Did the AI agent weight all these models the same, without regard for the crap that some of them are?
  3. 78Blizzard
    Looks like he bought the 18z Euro.
  4. 78Blizzard
    Yeah, maybe the GFS and Euro both burped in opposite ways, and they will both find the middle ground at 0z.
  5. 78Blizzard
    We went from 12 good hits for E MA on the last run to 20 or so on this run. I got my microscope out.
  6. 78Blizzard
    Curious what the NAM is going to show later. It was leading the way on the 18z suite, notwithstanding the GFS.
  7. 78Blizzard
    Curious if the EPS follows through.
  8. 78Blizzard
    That's why we tossed the GFS.
  9. 78Blizzard
    We toss that GFS run.
  10. 78Blizzard
    The GEFS actually went about 40-50 mi east, but nothing like the GFS. That was a burp run on the GFS. It's coming back west next run. The GEFS was still decent in E MA and the Cape.
  11. 78Blizzard
    Even Hazey up in NS is going to have trouble getting his double digits with that run of the GFS.
  12. 78Blizzard
    Good start to the 18z suite with NAM, ICON, and ICON-EPS all with the west trend.
  13. 78Blizzard
    NAM is showing the way...
  14. 78Blizzard
    Still early on the NAM, but the h5 is trending west from the last run. That ridge out west has trended west as well.
  15. 78Blizzard
    There were a dozen good hits in there for E MA.
  16. 78Blizzard
    The Euro AI trend has been SE the last 3 runs.
  17. 78Blizzard
    I remember the one almost 16 years to the day back in 2010 while my son and I were attending the commemoration of the 125 year anniversary of the Blue Hill Observatory. Kocin and Uccellini during their lectures were wondering if they were going to be able to get back to Baltimore/DC with a massive storm down there while we were sucking extreme cold and cirrus. Maybe we weren't that close on that one. But at least we got signed copies of "Northeast Snowstorms".
  18. 78Blizzard
    EPS followed the Euro with a marked improvement to the NW. One more run like that and much of E MA will be sharing the cape's good stuff. I was comparing to 12z.
  19. 78Blizzard
    It's the GFS against the world. But the Euro gives the cape 1"+ qpf. Another move nw like this one would get that qpf up to the Boston area. But if the GFS starts heading east at 06 and/or 12z, it's probably time to move on to the next threat.
  20. 78Blizzard
    Euro AI not on board.
  21. 78Blizzard
    One more move west and tomorrow the media will be the battle cry for everyone to start running to empty the grocery store shelves.
  22. 78Blizzard
    What's interesting on that GFS run is that the heavy convection was to the north and northwest, while the storm took an eastward track. Usually we see these setups where it chases the heavy convection to the east of the center and we lose out. That's why I'm not buying this eastward track.
  23. 78Blizzard
    NIce timing for the 48 year anniversary.
  24. 78Blizzard
    Not only was the GEFS west of the 18z run, the members are more consolidated to the west.
  25. 78Blizzard
    Hangs around NC too long and then gets kicked east. I'd like to see that stall just 100 mi southwest of the Cape.
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