vortmax

3 minutes ago, Blue Moon said:

We have been very lucky with the band this morning! We have gotten a couple inches out of it. Snowpack is at or over a foot now.

Yea, right over Oswego. Nice! 

Actually just south of the campus. 

Just noticed that meso. Impressive. 

Also just noticed the WWA for Wayne cty. I'm assuming it'll be a Sodus Bay east special, but you never know. 

4 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

84hr nam looks similar to the 18z gfs with holding the energy back in the SW. Like I said the other day... if this thing is gonna miss the entire forum including ENY, hopefully it's like the 18z gfs and misses everyone lol.

If we can't have it, no one can!

3 minutes ago, tim123 said:

GEM not showing on Pivotal.

As of 12Z model guidances, the nor`easter remains to track
far enough east keep the majority of the snow out of the forecast
area, however a shift westward can change this.

So you're saying there's a chance? 

33 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

This looks like it want to go over the BM or just inside it.  We'd be high and dry snyoptically. I think only the CMC looks good here.  Hopefully upper levels evolve to allow more west track.

Question is why it shifted west already (guessing something over the pacific?) and if there's room for more based on the upper levels.

I know this is a different setup than the Jan 16th storm, but the 500 setup looks similar. Some of the differences of this setup I see are:

1) The ridge axis seems about 200 miles east.

2) Northern energy phases earlier it seems.

3) Not as negatively tilted as early (yet).

4) H500 trough position is similar, but the surface forms significantly further east.

I could be off here, anyone want to chime in?

I have a good feeling about this one, though. 

2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

I like Delta’s prospects in VT. How I wish my trip there was this coming weekend as opposed to the following. 

The wind would be brutal if you went this weekend!

I'm liking the westward drift. Let's see if the other globals follow suit.

6 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

Rgem wants to throw Bville a bone

I'd take that, but seems like quite the angle for a band. 

The defense clearly lost the game. Tons of missed tackles. They were out on the field way too much in the 2nd half and plain old tired at the end. The coin toss determined the winner. 

1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said:

WHY DIDNT THEY BUMP KELCE AT THE LINE? WDF KIND OF DEFENSE IS THAT?????????!!!!!! You can pretty much do whatever you want within 5 yards. TERRIBLEEEEE Defense.

Sure was. Come on. Lost the coin toss. 

13 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

I officially had a heart attack and still am alive. HOLY S******* JOSH ALLLENENNNNEN

A 2nd heart attack?? 

You got to be kidding me!!! 

4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Too much time for Mahomes. 3 times and 2 minutes lets see that #1 defense show up for once.....

Nope

Wow AND the conversion,!! 

4th and 14. This will be legendary if completed. 

Big play D. 

Let's go #1 D! 

Those 4 missed points are gonna haunt KC. 

Bam! 

1 hour ago, rochesterdave said:

A micro-climate day in Monroe County. 3” in Webster, 2” in Irondequoit and 1/2” in Pittsford 

And 4" in Ontario.

3-4" here as well. Surprised. 

Band ashore here. Fluffy 1.5"/hr rates. Thankful for Lake Ontario.

Wow, could be an AFC home game in BUF baby!