vortmax

Looks like it's pushing SE. NW Monroe cty through BUF city proper. 

Thankful only a few drops of rain so far. 

2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

GFS

How can one tell what average ratio Kuchera is applying? 

Wow, this storm doesn't seem to be exciting anyone....or maybe rain obs aren't very exciting.

33 minutes ago, 96blizz said:

Thing is - I think - the second wave is where it’s at. That’s what the NAM and GGEM show. The first wave is kinda meh but the second one can blitz us. Colder like the Euro and the heaviest snows sink just South of CNY. 

The euro at 12z already seems to be busting too cold by a bit. 
 

Seems maybe the NW solutions may win out...we shall see.

15 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said:

Opening in theaters on February 4, 2022…The Third Wave!  Produced and Directed by Vortmax. Starring Vortmax.  Soundtrack by Vortmax. Costumes by Vortmax. 

We renamed it to: Close Encounters of the Third Wave...

6 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Link for this map?

Keep clicking on it.

1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said:

12z Euro looking close to 6z thru h35 except maybe tad colder.

3rd wave missing?

6 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

A man after my own heart. A true snow whore! Lol

I prefer the name snow hound...lol

I'm dismayed by some of the models losing the 3rd wave. What the heck is going on? lol

Just now, Buffalo Bumble said:

Definitely doesn’t feel like a winter storm incoming. In fact, it feels kind of odd with mild temps and calm wind. Certainly not the traditional cold/crisp day in advance of a snowstorm. The opposite actually!  Interesting, really…

Sometimes that's what happens before the good ones...

2 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said:

haha Environment Canada has fully cancelled any advisories for Toronto and GTA. Im somehow still in a warning but I imagine that gets cancelled soon as well 

So, they aren't going with the RGEM it seems.

Just now, 96blizz said:

GGEM is so good for Buff to the ADK and prolongs it. 
 

It keeps showing that 3rd wave through Friday...

29 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

45 yesterday and 43 today both sunny days too. Going for my first run outside in over a month today.

2 minutes ago, Leelee said:

Same here. I've enjoyed jogging outside this week. That's shut down for at least another 2 weeks soon.

I'm getting those looking at long-range models and wishing it was March feels.

I've been running in the morning below zero...come on guys...

Just now, CoolMikeWx said:

The last time I golfed I used two boxes of balls, I dont think that's supposed to happen.

Lol!!

3 minutes ago, 96blizz said:

12z RGEM. Kuchera, naturally. 

RGEM still showing the 3rd wave on Friday...

29 minutes ago, tim123 said:

Thats you Dave and vort.

How good is the HRW FV3?

Just now, rochesterdave said:

somebody stole the 3rd storm! Dang. I think that 6z was a little too good to be true. 

It's literally gone.

Wait, did the 3rd wave on the 12z NAM just disappear??? 06z there was precip all day on Friday. 

Just now, rochesterdave said:

I wouldn’t spend any time worrying about that. 

The 3k is the same, before LE starts early Fri AM.

2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

NAM looks good. Not many changes. Just minor spasms. LP is actually a little lower. 

That QPF hole over us doesn't make sense with a NNE wind.

Just now, tim123 said:

Forecast was for a inch or less overnight.

Yes, but @21z is still only an inch in our area.

Not digging 12z NAM as it delays the initial cold air push for the first wave. Seems only NIA gets in on frozen overnight.

10 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Perfect night on the slopes 

I love night skiing.